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2024 Congressional Elections: A Tight Race

The 2024 US midterm elections are highly competitive, with significant spending and close races in both the House and Senate that could shift party control.

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PoliticsUs PoliticsCongressUs ElectionsSenateHouse

Republican PartyDemocratic PartyCook Political ReportOpen SecretsAssociated Press

Donald TrumpKamala HarrisPete AguilarJoe ManchinJohn Tester

What is the current state of the battle for Congress?: The 2024 battle for Congress is highly competitive, with all 435 House seats and 34 Senate seats up for grabs. Republicans currently control the House, while Democrats hold a narrow Senate majority, but polls suggest a potential shift in power.
What are some of the closest Senate races and what is at stake?: Close Senate races include those in Ohio (Brown vs. Moreno), Pennsylvania, Montana (Tester vs. Sheehy), Texas (Cruz vs. Allred), and Michigan. The outcome in these races will likely determine which party controls the Senate.
Which races are the most expensive, and what is the overall estimated spending?: The most expensive races are in the Senate, with Ohio and Pennsylvania seeing nearly $405 million and $260 million spent respectively. Overall, an estimated $10 billion is projected to be spent across all 469 congressional races, making it potentially the second most expensive election ever.
Where are some key House races located, and what are recent forecasts suggesting?: Key House races are concentrated in California, with five Republican representatives facing tough reelection battles. The Cook Political Report has also revised its forecasts for several House races, suggesting improved prospects for Democratic candidates.
How might the retirement of Senator Manchin and other close races influence the Senate balance?: The retirement of Democratic Senator Joe Manchin from West Virginia is likely to result in a Republican gain, while the Montana and Texas Senate races are particularly competitive and could significantly impact the overall Senate balance.

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