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2024 Election: Trump's Win Driven by Immigration, Economy, and Perception

Analysis of the 2024 election reveals that despite negative personal views of Trump, voters prioritized immigration, economic concerns, and perceived policy effectiveness over concerns about democracy and abortion.

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United States

PoliticsEconomyUs PoliticsImmigrationElectionPolicy

Republican PartyBiden AdministrationDepartment Of JusticeIpsosYougov

Donald TrumpKamala HarrisJd VanceJoe BidenStephen Miller

What was the role of abortion in the election?: While abortion is a polarizing issue, it wasn't a primary concern for many Trump voters. Many believed he wouldn't enact nationwide abortion restrictions, mitigating the Democrats' advantage on this issue.
How did economic concerns influence voter choices?: Economic dissatisfaction, despite positive economic indicators, played a key role in Trump's success. Voters' negative perceptions of the economy under Biden and Trump's promises to boost domestic oil drilling and reduce taxes resonated.
How did Trump's immigration policies contribute to his win?: Trump's hardline stance on immigration resonated with voters despite the factual inaccuracies in some of his claims. Republicans' strategic framing of the issue and the Biden administration's perceived lax border security likely contributed to this.
What were the key issues that determined the outcome of the 2024 election?: Trump's victory was driven by voters prioritizing immigration and the economy, where he held significant advantages. Conversely, he lost ground on abortion and the state of democracy, issues where his opponent, Harris, had stronger support.
How did voters balance Trump's anti-democratic tendencies with other policy preferences?: Trump's anti-democratic tendencies deeply concerned many, yet some voters prioritized his economic or other policies, overlooking these concerns. Beliefs that institutional checks would prevent extreme policies also played a role.

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