theguardian.com
2024 US Presidential Election Polling Analysis
Analysis of the 2024 US Presidential election between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, based on current polling data.
English
United Kingdom
Us PoliticsElectionDemocracyCandidatesPolling Data
The Guardian Us538
Kamala HarrisDonald TrumpRobert Tait
- How close is the race in the battleground states?
- The battleground states are also very close, indicating a highly competitive election.
- How does the Guardian US calculate its polling averages?
- The Guardian US polling average is calculated using a rolling 10-day average of head-to-head and multi-candidate polls, filtering out lower-quality pollsters for national polls.
- What is the overall political climate surrounding the election?
- The election is characterized by a fractured political landscape, with accusations of fascism and racism, threats of retribution, and warnings about the future of democracy.
- What is the current polling situation in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
- The 2024 US presidential election is a tight race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump, with Harris currently holding a one-point advantage nationally according to a Guardian US poll average.
- What are the limitations of using polling averages to predict the election outcome?
- While polling averages provide a snapshot of the race, they are subject to change and should not be interpreted as a prediction of the election outcome, as the Electoral College determines the winner.