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2024: Warmest Year on Record?

Copernicus predicts 2024 to be the warmest year on record, exceeding the 1.5-degree Celsius threshold. Scientists debate the implications and effectiveness of climate action.

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Climate ChangeEnergy SecurityGlobal WarmingEmissionsTemperatureClimate Conference

CopernicusUnited NationsUniversity Of OxfordAlfred-Wegener-InstitutPotsdam-Institut Für Klimafolgenforschung

António GuterresSteve SmithHelge GößlingSamantha BurgessMojib LatifAnders LevermannDonald TrumpJoe Biden

What is the significance of the 1.5-degree Celsius warming threshold?: The 1.5-degree Celsius warming threshold, agreed upon in the Paris Agreement, is a symbolic benchmark. Experts disagree on whether surpassing this threshold for a single year constitutes a failure, focusing instead on long-term trends and emissions reduction.
What is Copernicus's prediction for the global average temperature in 2024?: Copernicus predicts that 2024 will likely be the warmest year on record, with a global average temperature exceeding 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. This prediction highlights the accelerating pace of global warming.
How are rising ocean temperatures linked to the increase in global air temperatures?: The increasing global temperatures are strongly linked to rising ocean temperatures, as oceans cover a large portion of the Earth's surface and influence atmospheric temperatures. The consistently high ocean temperatures are contributing to extreme weather events.
What is the perspective of some scientists regarding the effectiveness of climate conferences?: Scientists like Mojib Latif are skeptical about the effectiveness of climate conferences (COPs) in achieving significant emission reductions. He argues that even if the 1.5-degree threshold is exceeded, continued high greenhouse gas emissions will lead to further warming.
What would be the effect on global warming even if all CO2 emissions were stopped immediately?: While stopping all CO2 emissions immediately would be ideal, it's unrealistic. Even if achieved, the climate system's inertia would still lead to further warming in the coming decades due to past emissions and the system's delayed response.

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