tr.euronews.com
2024: Warmest Year on Record, Exceeding Paris Agreement Target
European scientists predict 2024 will be the warmest year on record, exceeding the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C target above pre-industrial levels due partly to El Niño; while La Niña in 2025 may slightly reduce temperatures, 2025 is still projected to be among the top three warmest years.
- What caused 2024 to become the warmest year on record, and what are the immediate implications?
- European scientists predict 2024 will be the warmest year on record, exceeding the Paris Agreement's 1.5°C target above pre-industrial levels for the first time. This is partly due to El Niño, a climate pattern. While La Niña, another climate pattern, might slightly lower temperatures in 2025, 2025 is still likely to be among the three warmest years on record.
- How do El Niño and La Niña affect global weather patterns, and what are their projected impacts on 2025 temperatures?
- The record 2024 temperatures are linked to El Niño, which warms the eastern Pacific, altering global weather patterns. La Niña, conversely, cools the eastern Pacific by strengthening trade winds. These patterns, occurring every 2-7 years, impact global weather, with La Niña potentially bringing increased rainfall and cyclones to various regions.
- What are the long-term implications of exceeding the 1.5°C threshold set by the Paris Agreement, considering the potential short-term cooling effect of La Niña?
- Although La Niña might offer a temporary cooling effect in 2025, the long-term trend of rising global temperatures due to greenhouse gases will persist. Even with La Niña, 2025 is predicted to be exceptionally warm, exceeding 2016, the previously warmest year on record, in terms of global temperatures. The exceeding of the 1.5°C threshold in 2024 is not considered a violation of the Paris Agreement, as a sustained exceedance over 20-30 years is required.
Cognitive Concepts
Framing Bias
The framing emphasizes the record-breaking temperatures of 2024 and the potential for a slightly cooler 2025 due to La Niña. This sequencing might downplay the long-term trend of rising global temperatures and the overall urgency of climate action. The headline (if any) would greatly influence this framing.
Language Bias
The language is generally neutral and factual, using scientific terminology appropriately. However, phrases like "record-breaking temperatures" and "extremely high" in relation to temperature predictions could be considered slightly loaded, potentially amplifying the impact of the data.
Bias by Omission
The article focuses primarily on temperature records and the influence of El Niño and La Niña, neglecting a broader discussion of the contributing factors to climate change beyond these cyclical weather patterns. While it mentions greenhouse gases, it doesn't delve into human activities or other significant environmental factors driving global warming. The omission of these perspectives limits the reader's understanding of the complexities of climate change.
False Dichotomy
The article presents a false dichotomy by emphasizing the short-term cooling effect of La Niña as opposed to the long-term warming trend caused by climate change. This simplification might lead readers to underestimate the severity and persistence of global warming.
Gender Bias
The article uses the Spanish terms "El Niño" (the boy) and "La Niña" (the girl) without explanation of the origin or potential gender implications. While it is standard meteorological terminology, it's worth noting that the use of gendered terms in scientific contexts is sometimes debated.
Sustainable Development Goals
The article reports that 2024 is likely to be the warmest year on record, exceeding the 1.5°C target set by the Paris Agreement. While a La Niña event in 2025 might slightly lower temperatures, the long-term trend shows a continued increase in global temperatures due to greenhouse gases. This directly indicates a negative impact on climate action goals.