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China Braces for Trump's Return
China anticipates increased tensions with the U.S. under a second Trump administration, concerning trade, technology, and Taiwan. Trump's unpredictable approach, and the precarious state of the Chinese economy, create uncertainty.
English
United States
PoliticsInternational RelationsTechnologyChinaGeopoliticsTradeInternational TradeIndo Pacific
Center For China And GlobalizationUbsSingapore Management UniversityTsmcWilson Center
Donald TrumpXi JinpingTsai Ing-WenKim Jong UnHenry Gao
- What is the potential impact of Trump's past actions and statements on the situation with Taiwan?
- Trump's past actions involving Taiwan, such as his phone call with the Taiwanese president and his recent comments regarding defense, signal uncertainty about the future of US-Taiwan relations and the possibility of heightened tensions with China.
- What role does the semiconductor industry play in the ongoing tensions between the U.S. and China?
- The semiconductor industry, especially Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC), plays a pivotal role in the US-China tech rivalry, influencing both Trump's policy decisions regarding tariffs and his stance on the CHIPS and Science Act.
- How is the personal relationship between Trump and Xi Jinping expected to influence US-China relations?
- Trump's relationship with Chinese President Xi Jinping, characterized by both cooperation and conflict during his first term, is expected to be a key factor in trade relations and other issues such as Taiwan and the Ukraine war.
- What are the main areas of potential conflict between China and the U.S. under a second Trump presidency?
- China is bracing for potential trade conflicts with the U.S. under a second Trump administration, particularly regarding tariffs on Chinese exports. Trump's threats of high tariffs could significantly impact China's already unstable economy.
- What are the potential outcomes of future trade negotiations between the U.S. and China under a second Trump term?
- While Trump may leverage tariffs as negotiation tools, China's weak economic state might make them more willing to compromise. However, unexpected events or shifts in Trump's approach could disrupt this dynamic.