faz.net
Gold Price Surge Predicted for 2025
Heraeus predicts gold prices to hit \$2950 per ounce by 2025, driven by Trump's inflationary policies, increased central bank purchases, and geopolitical risks; silver's outlook is brighter than palladium's.
- What are the key factors driving the predicted increase in gold prices to record highs by 2025?
- Heraeus forecasts gold prices to reach up to \$2950 per ounce by 2025, potentially exceeding \$3000. This prediction is based on anticipated inflation driven by Trump's planned economic stimulus and continued central bank gold purchases. A weaker dollar, resulting from increased US debt, would also boost demand.
- How will the anticipated policies of the incoming US president and the trend of 'de-dollarization' influence the global demand for gold?
- The projected gold price surge is linked to several factors: Trump's inflationary policies, increased central bank gold buying (absorbing 20% of annual supply), and persistent geopolitical instability increasing demand for safe-haven assets. Asian economic growth could further fuel demand from countries like China and India.
- What are the potential long-term implications of this gold price surge for other precious metals, and what factors could moderate or accelerate the projected price increases?
- While Bitcoin's rise is considered unlikely to affect gold prices, the increasing 'de-dollarization' trend among nations seeking to reduce reliance on the US dollar will likely continue and potentially intensify under a Trump presidency, further supporting gold demand. Silver's outlook is positive, driven by industrial demand, while palladium's future is less certain due to reduced automotive catalyst use.
Cognitive Concepts
Framing Bias
The framing is generally positive towards higher gold prices, emphasizing the potential for record highs and highlighting factors that could drive prices up. The headline (not provided in text) would likely reinforce this positive framing. The article uses phrases like "new Goldpreis-Höchststände" and focuses on the positive predictions of Heraeus.
Language Bias
The language used is generally neutral, but the frequent use of positive phrasing when discussing potential gold price increases ('losgehen mit den neuen Goldpreis-Höchstständen') subtly influences the reader's perception. The article also uses terms like "sich sogar noch besser entwickeln" which adds a sense of optimism.
Bias by Omission
The article focuses heavily on Heraeus's predictions and analysis, potentially omitting other expert opinions or market forecasts that may offer a more balanced perspective. The article also doesn't discuss potential downsides to increased gold prices, such as inflationary pressures or impacts on other sectors.
False Dichotomy
The article presents a somewhat simplistic view of the relationship between Trump's policies and gold prices, neglecting other factors that could influence the market. The dichotomy presented is essentially 'Trump policies = higher inflation and higher gold prices', which ignores the complexity of global economic factors.
Sustainable Development Goals
Higher gold prices can positively impact income distribution, particularly benefiting those who invest in gold. Increased demand from emerging markets like China and India, driven by economic stimulus and diversification from the dollar, further contributes to wealth redistribution. However, this effect is indirect and the overall impact on inequality needs further consideration.