jpost.com
Israel-Iran Conflict: A Limited Strike and its Aftermath
Analysis of Israel's limited attack on Iran, why Iran is unlikely to retaliate, and the future of the conflict.
English
Israel
International RelationsMiddle EastIsraelGeopoliticsMilitary ConflictStrategic Analysis
Israel Defense ForcesHezbollahHamasUs GovernmentIranian Revolutionary Guard Corps
Yoav GallantBenjamin NetanyahuAyatollah Ali KhameneiIsmail Baqai
- Why is Iran unlikely to retaliate against Israel?
- Iran's decision not to retaliate stems from several factors including the limited nature of the attack, the potential for entrapment, and the desire to preserve its network of regional proxies.
- What is Israel's likely future strategy towards Iran?
- Israel is expected to shift towards cyber or hybrid warfare as more effective and less costly methods for countering Iranian threats, and maintaining a perpetual state of alert for Israelis.
- What forms of response are likely from Iran, given the circumstances?
- While both sides engaged in verbal threats and propaganda, a full-scale Iranian response is unlikely due to the limited damage and the risk of wider conflict. This situation preserves the existing power dynamic.
- What were the circumstances surrounding Israel's recent attack on Iran?
- Israel's recent attack on Iranian military facilities was likely coordinated with the US, resulting in a limited response from Iran. This was part of an implicit agreement to avoid escalation.
- How did the attack affect the strategic balance between Israel and Iran?
- The attack tested Iranian air defenses without a major confrontation, allowing both sides to claim victory and maintain the strategic equilibrium. This de-escalation benefited both countries and avoided broader conflict.