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Putin, Ukraine, and the US Elections: Will Negotiations Happen?
Analysis of Putin's potential response to the US election outcome and the challenges facing Ukraine in the ongoing conflict.
Ukrainian
United Kingdom
International RelationsUs PoliticsRussia Ukraine WarGeopoliticsElectionWarConflict
CnnCouncil On Foreign RelationsChatham HouseKyiv International Institute Of SociologyNato
Vladimir PutinKamala HarrisDonald TrumpThomas GrahamJohn LoughVolodymyr ZelenskyyOleksandr Syrskyi
- How could a Donald Trump presidency affect the conflict in Ukraine?
- A Trump victory could potentially lead to reduced US aid to Ukraine, altering the battlefield dynamics. However, analysts suggest that even this wouldn't necessarily prompt Putin to negotiate, as his primary goal is to diminish US influence globally.
- What are the main challenges facing Ukraine in the ongoing conflict?
- Ukraine faces significant challenges, including troop shortages and a war of attrition against Russia's massive military capacity. The longer the war lasts, the more difficult it will become for Ukraine to sustain its defense.
- What are the key factors driving Putin's actions in Ukraine, independent of US elections?
- The uncertainty surrounding the US elections and potential changes in US policy towards Ukraine are significant factors impacting the conflict. However, Putin's strategic goals appear independent of these developments.
- How does the Ukrainian public feel about the length of the conflict, based on recent polling data?
- While a majority of Ukrainians remain committed to fighting for as long as necessary, recent polls show a slight decline in this sentiment, particularly in eastern and southern regions where fighting is intense.
- What is the likelihood of Putin negotiating with Ukraine after the US elections, according to Western analysts?
- Western analysts believe Putin's willingness to negotiate with Ukraine after the US elections is unlikely, regardless of the winner. Russia's strategy focuses on attrition, and Putin sees no reason to change course.