dw.com
Taiwan and Trump's Return: Uncertainties and Strategies
Analysis of Taiwan's concerns about Trump's potential second term, US policy towards Taiwan, and strategies for Taiwan to navigate the changing geopolitical landscape.
Chinese
Germany
PoliticsInternational RelationsUs PoliticsDiplomacyTradeSecurity
International Crisis GroupTaiwan's Ministry Of National DefenseUs Central Intelligence Agency
Donald TrumpLai Ching-TeLo Chih-ChengAmanda HsiaoElbridge Colby
- What is Taiwan's reaction to Trump's victory?
- Trump's victory has caused anxiety in Taiwan due to his past statements suggesting Taiwan should pay for US protection and his complaints about Taiwan's semiconductor industry.
- What is a suggested strategy for Taiwan going forward?
- Taiwan's strategy should focus on highlighting mutual benefits to the US, not just shared values. This involves negotiating protection costs and emphasizing the economic consequences of a Chinese takeover for the US.
- How might Trump's cabinet choices affect US-Taiwan relations?
- Taiwan is closely watching Trump's cabinet choices. While his first term saw a pro-Taiwan policy largely due to his team (like Pompeo and Bolton, who are unlikely to return), individuals like Elbridge Colby, with a more hawkish stance, might influence a more demanding approach toward Taiwan's self-defense.
- What other strategies should Taiwan utilize in managing relations with the US?
- Taiwan should also focus on strengthening ties with Japan and Europe to garner further support for Taiwan from the US and leverage Congress' bipartisan support for Taiwan.
- What are the potential scenarios for US Taiwan policy under a second Trump administration?
- There is uncertainty regarding Trump's future Taiwan policy. While he may continue support contingent on increased Taiwanese defense spending, he could also seek to elevate the relationship with Taiwan, potentially increasing tensions with China.