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Trump's Return: Winners and Losers in Europe
Analysis of how a Trump presidency may affect political actors in Europe, focusing on potential winners and losers and the overall implications for the continent.
Turkish
United States
PoliticsInternational RelationsEconomyUs PoliticsEuropean UnionEuropeSecurity
European CommissionGhent UniversitySiyasi Sermaye EnstitüsüNortheastern UniversityNato
Viktor OrbánMatteo SalviniThierry BretonPeter KrekoHendrik VosMai'a CrossEmmanuel MacronDonald Tusk
- How will Trump's return impact far-right groups in Europe?
- While some far-right groups may initially see Trump's return as a boost, experts believe it won't provide long-term support. Voters will likely recognize that Trump's policies primarily serve American interests.
- Who are the potential winners in Europe from a Trump presidency?
- Viktor Orbán and Matteo Salvini, leaders with views aligning with Trump's, see his return as potentially beneficial, believing it signals a shift in global politics. However, experts caution that Trump's "America First" policy prioritizes US interests, potentially harming European economies.
- What are the overall long-term implications for Europe from a Trump presidency?
- The short-term gains perceived by some populist leaders are likely outweighed by the long-term risks to European security, economic stability, and the transatlantic relationship due to Trump's focus on American interests.
- Which European countries are likely to be most negatively affected by a Trump presidency?
- France and Germany, key players in European security and defense, are likely to be most concerned by Trump's return. His policies, potentially including high tariffs and instability, could negatively affect the overall European economy.
- What challenges does the EU face in maintaining unity against Trump's potential influence?
- The EU faces the challenge of preventing Trump from driving wedges between member states through favorable bilateral deals. The European Commission must work to maintain unity and counter such efforts.