theguardian.com
Trump's Second Term: A Bleak Outlook for Europe
Analysis of the potential negative consequences for Europe of a second Donald Trump presidency, including strategic, economic, and political risks.
English
United Kingdom
PoliticsInternational RelationsUs PoliticsGermany GeopoliticsEuropean UnionTrade WarEconomics
NatoEuRepublican PartyWhite HouseEuropean Commission
Donald TrumpDonald TuskVladimir PutinUrsula Von Der LeyenViktor Orbán
- What are the main risks for Europe posed by a second Trump presidency?
- A second Trump presidency poses significant strategic, economic, and political risks to Europe, potentially undermining NATO, triggering trade wars, and emboldening illiberal nationalists.
- What is the challenge for the EU in responding to potential US aggression?
- The EU faces the challenge of uniting its 27 member states behind a common line in response to potential US tariffs or other aggressive actions, as individual countries may seek to negotiate separate deals with the US.
- What is the potential impact of a second Trump term on Europe's internal politics?
- A second Trump term could exacerbate Europe's internal political divisions, emboldening right-wing populists and potentially pushing mainstream conservatives further to the right on issues like migration and gender.
- What are the implications for European security of Trump's approach to foreign policy and NATO?
- Trump's transactional approach to foreign policy and his potential undermining of NATO raise concerns about the security of European countries, particularly in the face of Russian aggression.
- What internal vulnerabilities make Europe susceptible to pressure from the US under a Trump administration?
- Europe's economic fragility, coupled with internal political crises and the ongoing war in Ukraine, makes it vulnerable to pressure from a Trump administration prioritizing "America First" policies.