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US-China Tensions to Rise Under Trump
Experts predict heightened tensions in US-China relations under a second Trump presidency, potentially impacting trade, economics, and geopolitical alliances. China may leverage opportunities while adopting defensive strategies.
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International RelationsUs PoliticsChinaGeopoliticsTradeEconomics
National University Of SingaporeCenter For Strategic And International Studies (Csis)International Crisis GroupUbsAcademia Sinica
Donald TrumpXi JinpingChong Ja IanIlaria MazzoccoAli WyneWen Liu
- Could Trump's foreign policy create opportunities for China?
- Trump's "America First" policy could create opportunities for China to strengthen relationships with European countries and potentially weaken US alliances in Eurasia. However, ongoing conflicts and trade disputes may limit the EU's willingness to foster closer ties with China.
- How did Xi Jinping respond to Donald Trump's election victory?
- Xi Jinping congratulated Donald Trump on his election victory, expressing hope for improved relations and peaceful coexistence. However, experts anticipate increased tensions under a second Trump presidency, particularly in trade and economic relations.
- What are the potential implications for Taiwan under a second Trump administration?
- Trump's stance on Taiwan is unpredictable, potentially ranging from demanding "protection fees" to treating the issue as a bargaining chip. This uncertainty, combined with a Republican-controlled Congress, could place Taiwan under increased pressure to boost its defense spending.
- What is the overall expected impact of a second Trump presidency on US-China relations?
- While China may view some aspects of a second Trump presidency as opportunities, the overall expectation is heightened tension and potential economic instability. China is likely to adopt defensive strategies, such as market diversification and potential retaliation, to navigate the challenges.
- What are the potential economic consequences of a second Trump presidency for US-China relations?
- Experts believe that Trump's return could escalate Sino-US tensions, potentially leading to significant economic shocks through trade wars and broader economic decoupling. China may retaliate with tariffs and further market diversification to mitigate the impact.