Tag #Economic Forecast

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dw.com

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Apr 15, 16:11

IEA Lowers 2025 Global Oil Consumption Forecast

The IEA lowered its 2025 global oil consumption forecast by 300,000 barrels per day to 103.54 million due to weaker economic conditions and trade tensions, while OPEC made a smaller reduction; the price of crude oil has fallen below \$60 per barrel.

IEA Lowers 2025 Global Oil Consumption Forecast

The IEA lowered its 2025 global oil consumption forecast by 300,000 barrels per day to 103.54 million due to weaker economic conditions and trade tensions, while OPEC made a smaller reduction; the price of crude oil has fallen below \$60 per barrel.

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Climate Action

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How do the IEA and OPEC forecasts for oil demand compare, and what factors account for any discrepancies?

The IEA attributes the reduced oil demand forecast to weaker economic prospects and the escalating trade war, with the impact particularly felt in the US and China. OPEC also reduced its forecast, but by a smaller margin. The decrease in oil prices is partly due to increased oil production by OPEC+ members, exceeding voluntary reduction targets.

theglobeandmail.com

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Apr 14, 04:08

Bank of Canada Faces Tough Interest Rate Decision Amidst Uncertainty

Faced with volatile markets, a federal election, and erratic U.S. trade policy, the Bank of Canada must decide this week whether to cut interest rates further or maintain them at 2.75 percent; conflicting economic data and differing expert opinions complicate the decision.

Bank of Canada Faces Tough Interest Rate Decision Amidst Uncertainty

Faced with volatile markets, a federal election, and erratic U.S. trade policy, the Bank of Canada must decide this week whether to cut interest rates further or maintain them at 2.75 percent; conflicting economic data and differing expert opinions complicate the decision.

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Decent Work and Economic Growth

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What is the Bank of Canada's most pressing challenge in setting interest rates this week, given the current economic and political climate?

The Bank of Canada faces a critical interest rate decision this week, influenced by volatile financial markets, a federal election, and unpredictable U.S. trade policies. The central bank must choose between a further quarter-point interest rate cut to 2.5 percent or a pause, reflecting a 60 percent market expectation for the latter. This decision is complicated by conflicting economic signals: inflation rose to 2.6 percent in February but recent GDP growth was stronger than anticipated.

forbes.com

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Apr 10, 19:15

Recession Concerns Rise Amidst Market Volatility and Trade Uncertainty

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink and JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon voiced concerns about a US recession in early April, while Goldman Sachs initially projected a 65% probability before revising it to 45% following President Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff pause.

Recession Concerns Rise Amidst Market Volatility and Trade Uncertainty

BlackRock CEO Larry Fink and JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon voiced concerns about a US recession in early April, while Goldman Sachs initially projected a 65% probability before revising it to 45% following President Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff pause.

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Reduced Inequality

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What is the current market sentiment regarding a potential US recession, and what factors are driving these predictions?

Larry Fink and Jamie Dimon, CEOs of BlackRock and JPMorgan Chase respectively, both expressed concerns about a potential recession in early April, citing market declines and consumer sentiment. Goldman Sachs initially raised its recession probability to 65% on April 9th, but revised it down to 45% following President Trump's announcement of a 90-day tariff pause.

mk.ru

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Apr 8, 19:19

Contrasting Salary Growth and GDP Projections in Russia

Russia's average monthly nominal salary reached 87,900 rubles in 2024, a 17% increase; however, despite initial predictions of stagnation, some sectors show significant salary growth, while experts debate the sustainability of this trend given low GDP growth projections.

Contrasting Salary Growth and GDP Projections in Russia

Russia's average monthly nominal salary reached 87,900 rubles in 2024, a 17% increase; however, despite initial predictions of stagnation, some sectors show significant salary growth, while experts debate the sustainability of this trend given low GDP growth projections.

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Decent Work and Economic Growth

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How do expert opinions on salary growth in 2025 differ, and what economic factors do they cite to support their predictions?

While initial predictions pointed towards salary stagnation in 2025, data reveals significant salary increases in certain sectors like IT (up to 250,000 rubles for engineers) and brokerage (200,000 rubles, a 38% increase). This contrasts with the overall projected GDP growth of 1.5-2%.

npr.org

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Apr 4, 04:11

Trump's Tariffs: Economists Predict Higher Prices, Economic Slowdown

President Trump announced sweeping tariffs on various imported goods, expected to increase consumer prices and harm U.S. manufacturing, according to Harvard economist Jason Furman, who argues that this trade policy contradicts the U.S.'s economic interests by focusing on low-value manufacturing jobs...

Trump's Tariffs: Economists Predict Higher Prices, Economic Slowdown

President Trump announced sweeping tariffs on various imported goods, expected to increase consumer prices and harm U.S. manufacturing, according to Harvard economist Jason Furman, who argues that this trade policy contradicts the U.S.'s economic interests by focusing on low-value manufacturing jobs...

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Decent Work and Economic Growth

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What are the immediate economic consequences of President Trump's new tariffs on imported goods?

President Trump's recently announced tariffs, impacting various goods like bananas, mangoes, avocados, and coffee, are expected to increase prices for American consumers and disrupt global supply chains. Economists predict these tariffs will negatively affect manufacturing by raising input costs for American businesses.

repubblica.it

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Apr 1, 22:12

Slow Italian Consumption Growth Forecast for 2025

The Italian consumer goods industry association (Ibc) forecasts weak 2025 consumption growth (0.8%) and purchasing power (0.8%), driven by cautious consumer spending, high energy costs, and supply chain issues, impacting 35,000+ companies and 1.1 million jobs.

Slow Italian Consumption Growth Forecast for 2025

The Italian consumer goods industry association (Ibc) forecasts weak 2025 consumption growth (0.8%) and purchasing power (0.8%), driven by cautious consumer spending, high energy costs, and supply chain issues, impacting 35,000+ companies and 1.1 million jobs.

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No Poverty

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What are the immediate economic impacts of the projected slow growth in Italian national consumption and purchasing power in 2025?

The Italian consumer goods industry (Ibc) forecasts weak national consumption growth at constant prices (0.8% increase in 2025 vs 0.4% in 2024), coupled with a slowdown in purchasing power (0.8% increase vs 2% in 2024). This impacts over 35,000 companies, generating €500 billion in revenue and employing 1.1 million people.

kathimerini.gr

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Apr 15, 13:16

JPMorgan Chase Profits Rise Amid CEO's Warning of Economic Disruptions

JPMorgan Chase's Q1 2025 net income rose 9%, yet CEO Jamie Dimon warned of significant economic disruptions, leading the bank to allocate $3.3 billion for potential loan losses, a trend mirrored, though less drastically, by Wells Fargo, reflecting concerns about the economy's future.

JPMorgan Chase Profits Rise Amid CEO's Warning of Economic Disruptions

JPMorgan Chase's Q1 2025 net income rose 9%, yet CEO Jamie Dimon warned of significant economic disruptions, leading the bank to allocate $3.3 billion for potential loan losses, a trend mirrored, though less drastically, by Wells Fargo, reflecting concerns about the economy's future.

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Decent Work and Economic Growth

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How do the current loan-loss provisions made by JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo compare to their responses during previous economic crises?

Despite healthy first-quarter earnings, major banks like JPMorgan Chase and Wells Fargo are increasing reserves for potential loan losses, reflecting concerns about economic uncertainty. This cautious approach mirrors actions taken during previous economic downturns.

dw.com

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Apr 10, 22:10

Stagnant German Economy Faces Challenges Despite New Government Spending Plans

Germany's economy is stagnating, with minimal growth predicted for 2024 and 2026 due to various factors including US tariffs, high energy costs, declining exports, and an aging population; a new coalition government plans to address this with increased public debt for investments, but experts warn o...

Stagnant German Economy Faces Challenges Despite New Government Spending Plans

Germany's economy is stagnating, with minimal growth predicted for 2024 and 2026 due to various factors including US tariffs, high energy costs, declining exports, and an aging population; a new coalition government plans to address this with increased public debt for investments, but experts warn o...

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Decent Work and Economic Growth

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What are the key factors contributing to the current stagnation of the German economy and what are the immediate implications?

The German economy has stagnated for three years, with minimal growth and declining exports. This is reflected in the Joint Economic Forecast, which predicts only 0.1% GDP growth in 2024 and 1.3% in 2026. US tariffs, though currently paused, pose a significant threat to further growth.

elmundo.es

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Apr 9, 13:20

Spain to Revise Economic Growth Forecast Downward Due to Trump's Tariffs

The Governor of the Bank of Spain, José Luis Escrivá, announced a downward revision of Spain's economic growth forecast from 2.7% due to Donald Trump's new aggressive tariff policy, citing uncertainty about the full impact and potential disruptions in global supply chains.

Spain to Revise Economic Growth Forecast Downward Due to Trump's Tariffs

The Governor of the Bank of Spain, José Luis Escrivá, announced a downward revision of Spain's economic growth forecast from 2.7% due to Donald Trump's new aggressive tariff policy, citing uncertainty about the full impact and potential disruptions in global supply chains.

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Decent Work and Economic Growth

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What is the immediate impact of Donald Trump's new tariff policy on Spain's economic growth forecast?

The Governor of the Bank of Spain, José Luis Escrivá, announced a downward revision of Spain's economic growth forecast from 2.7% due to Donald Trump's new aggressive tariff policy. This revision reflects the potential for negative impacts on global economic activity, particularly for economies with relatively high growth rates like Spain's. The exact extent of the revision remains undetermined.

gr.euronews.com

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Apr 5, 16:11

Italy's GDP Growth Forecast Lowered Due to US Tariffs

The Bank of Italy lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.6% from 0.8% due to US tariffs on European products, with further reductions projected for 2026 and 2027; the forecast does not account for potential retaliatory measures.

Italy's GDP Growth Forecast Lowered Due to US Tariffs

The Bank of Italy lowered its 2025 GDP growth forecast to 0.6% from 0.8% due to US tariffs on European products, with further reductions projected for 2026 and 2027; the forecast does not account for potential retaliatory measures.

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Decent Work and Economic Growth

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What is the immediate economic impact on Italy resulting from the US tariffs on European products?

The Bank of Italy lowered its GDP growth projections for 2025 from 0.8% to 0.6%, primarily due to tighter trade policies resulting from US tariffs on European products. Further downward revisions were applied to 2026 and 2027 projections.

es.euronews.com

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Apr 1, 10:17

Eurozone GDP Growth Forecast Lowered Amidst Economic Uncertainty and US Tariffs

S\&P Global predicts a 0.4% cumulative reduction in Eurozone GDP from 2025-2026 due to economic uncertainty, impacting growth projections and prompting potential ECB interest rate adjustments; however, fiscal stimulus could counterbalance this.

Eurozone GDP Growth Forecast Lowered Amidst Economic Uncertainty and US Tariffs

S\&P Global predicts a 0.4% cumulative reduction in Eurozone GDP from 2025-2026 due to economic uncertainty, impacting growth projections and prompting potential ECB interest rate adjustments; however, fiscal stimulus could counterbalance this.

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Decent Work and Economic Growth

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What is the primary impact of economic uncertainty and potential US tariffs on the Eurozone's GDP growth in the coming years?

S\&P Global forecasts a 0.4% cumulative reduction in Eurozone GDP (€14.6 trillion) between 2025 and 2026 due to economic uncertainty. This uncertainty, more impactful than US tariffs alone, already prompted a downward revision of 2025 growth expectations from 1.2% to 0.9%. However, German and EU fiscal stimulus could boost 2026 growth by 1.4%.

us.cnn.com

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Mar 31, 16:14

Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Probability to 35% Amidst Rising Tariffs

Goldman Sachs increased its US recession probability to 35% within the next 12 months, primarily due to President Trump's escalating tariffs that threaten to stunt growth, raise inflation, and increase unemployment, significantly impacting consumer and business confidence.

Goldman Sachs Raises US Recession Probability to 35% Amidst Rising Tariffs

Goldman Sachs increased its US recession probability to 35% within the next 12 months, primarily due to President Trump's escalating tariffs that threaten to stunt growth, raise inflation, and increase unemployment, significantly impacting consumer and business confidence.

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Decent Work and Economic Growth

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What is the immediate impact of Goldman Sachs's increased recession probability forecast on the US economy?

Goldman Sachs raised its US recession probability to 35% due to surging tariffs, impacting consumer confidence and potentially leading to higher unemployment and inflation. The bank also increased its inflation estimate and lowered its 2025 GDP forecast to 1%.

Showing 37 to 48 of 160 results