Showing 85 to 96 of 160 results
S&P 500 Defies Gambler's Fallacy After Back-to-Back 20%+ Returns
The S&P 500 delivered 25% returns in 2024, following 2023's 26.3% gain, defying the gambler's fallacy that suggests a correction is likely. Despite potential catalysts for a pause like investor complacency and high market concentration, historical data indicates a correction is not a foregone conclu...
S&P 500 Defies Gambler's Fallacy After Back-to-Back 20%+ Returns
The S&P 500 delivered 25% returns in 2024, following 2023's 26.3% gain, defying the gambler's fallacy that suggests a correction is likely. Despite potential catalysts for a pause like investor complacency and high market concentration, historical data indicates a correction is not a foregone conclu...
Progress
36% Bias Score
CNBC Fed Survey: Reduced Rate Cut Expectations Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty
The CNBC Fed Survey shows decreased expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025 and 2026 due to uncertainty about President Trump's fiscal policies, while the probability of a recession has fallen to 23%; however, opinions on the inflationary effects of his policies are sharply divided.
CNBC Fed Survey: Reduced Rate Cut Expectations Amid Trump Policy Uncertainty
The CNBC Fed Survey shows decreased expectations for interest rate cuts in 2025 and 2026 due to uncertainty about President Trump's fiscal policies, while the probability of a recession has fallen to 23%; however, opinions on the inflationary effects of his policies are sharply divided.
Progress
44% Bias Score
Sharp Rise in French Unemployment in Q4 2023
French unemployment saw its sharpest rise in a decade (excluding COVID) during Q4 2023, with a 3.9% increase in category A job seekers (3.138 million), 8.5% among those under 25 in metropolitan France. Hiring declarations also decreased 2.4% in Q4.
Sharp Rise in French Unemployment in Q4 2023
French unemployment saw its sharpest rise in a decade (excluding COVID) during Q4 2023, with a 3.9% increase in category A job seekers (3.138 million), 8.5% among those under 25 in metropolitan France. Hiring declarations also decreased 2.4% in Q4.
Progress
24% Bias Score
Crypto Investor Turns Bearish on Bitcoin, Reducing Holdings
A crypto investor, bearish on Bitcoin's short-term prospects, predicts a price peak around \$120,000-\$150,000 and is reducing their holdings, citing concerns about Bitcoin's long-term dominance and regulatory headwinds, while anticipating greater returns from blockchain application development.
Crypto Investor Turns Bearish on Bitcoin, Reducing Holdings
A crypto investor, bearish on Bitcoin's short-term prospects, predicts a price peak around \$120,000-\$150,000 and is reducing their holdings, citing concerns about Bitcoin's long-term dominance and regulatory headwinds, while anticipating greater returns from blockchain application development.
Progress
52% Bias Score
German Health Insurance Contributions Projected to Rise Significantly
The IGES Institute forecasts a substantial rise in German health insurance contributions, reaching 18.5% by 2029 and potentially over 22% by 2035 due to rising healthcare costs and an aging population, prompting the DAK health insurance fund to threaten legal action if reforms aren't implemented.
German Health Insurance Contributions Projected to Rise Significantly
The IGES Institute forecasts a substantial rise in German health insurance contributions, reaching 18.5% by 2029 and potentially over 22% by 2035 due to rising healthcare costs and an aging population, prompting the DAK health insurance fund to threaten legal action if reforms aren't implemented.
Progress
52% Bias Score
IMF Upgrades 2025 Global Growth Forecast Amid Widening Economic Divergences
The IMF slightly upgraded its 2025 global growth forecast to 3.3 percent, citing recent market developments and temporary trade policy uncertainty; however, growth divergences are widening, with the U.S. forecast at 2.7 percent, the Eurozone at 1 percent, China at 4.6 percent, and emerging markets a...
IMF Upgrades 2025 Global Growth Forecast Amid Widening Economic Divergences
The IMF slightly upgraded its 2025 global growth forecast to 3.3 percent, citing recent market developments and temporary trade policy uncertainty; however, growth divergences are widening, with the U.S. forecast at 2.7 percent, the Eurozone at 1 percent, China at 4.6 percent, and emerging markets a...
Progress
16% Bias Score
High Valuations and Demographic Shifts Dim Stock Market Outlook
High U.S. stock market valuations, despite strong recent returns, raise concerns about future performance; demographic trends and economic factors also pose significant risks.
High Valuations and Demographic Shifts Dim Stock Market Outlook
High U.S. stock market valuations, despite strong recent returns, raise concerns about future performance; demographic trends and economic factors also pose significant risks.
Progress
40% Bias Score
2025 Market Outlook: Divergence from Trump's First Term
Despite the return of President Trump, capital markets in 2025 are expected to differ significantly from 2017; US equities are projected to lead, interest rate volatility will increase due to inflation concerns, and the US dollar will strengthen.
2025 Market Outlook: Divergence from Trump's First Term
Despite the return of President Trump, capital markets in 2025 are expected to differ significantly from 2017; US equities are projected to lead, interest rate volatility will increase due to inflation concerns, and the US dollar will strengthen.
Progress
32% Bias Score
Berkshire Hathaway Shares Projected to Rise 17% in 2025
UBS projects a 17% increase in Berkshire Hathaway shares for 2025, citing its diverse holdings and strong performance in 2024 (25.5% gain), driven by operating earnings and Geico's anticipated growth; share buybacks are unlikely due to high valuation.
Berkshire Hathaway Shares Projected to Rise 17% in 2025
UBS projects a 17% increase in Berkshire Hathaway shares for 2025, citing its diverse holdings and strong performance in 2024 (25.5% gain), driven by operating earnings and Geico's anticipated growth; share buybacks are unlikely due to high valuation.
Progress
56% Bias Score
January Fed Meeting: Minimal Impact Expected on CD Interest Rates
The January 2025 Federal Reserve meeting is unlikely to significantly change CD rates, which currently offer competitive returns around 4.50%, providing a safer alternative to high-yield savings accounts in the face of economic uncertainty.
January Fed Meeting: Minimal Impact Expected on CD Interest Rates
The January 2025 Federal Reserve meeting is unlikely to significantly change CD rates, which currently offer competitive returns around 4.50%, providing a safer alternative to high-yield savings accounts in the face of economic uncertainty.
Progress
52% Bias Score
Trump's Day One Policies Leave Economic Forecast Unchanged
President Trump's Day One policy announcements had no immediate effect on the short-term economic forecast, although uncertainty remains about the impact of future tariffs on foreign trade; reduced immigration will slightly slow economic growth.
Trump's Day One Policies Leave Economic Forecast Unchanged
President Trump's Day One policy announcements had no immediate effect on the short-term economic forecast, although uncertainty remains about the impact of future tariffs on foreign trade; reduced immigration will slightly slow economic growth.
Progress
32% Bias Score
IMF Upgrades UK Growth Forecast Amidst Concerns Over Trump's Economic Policies
The IMF upgraded its UK growth forecast to 1.6% for 2025 but warned that Trump's threatened tariffs could worsen trade tensions, lower investment, and disrupt supply chains globally, potentially causing an inflationary boom followed by a bust and weakening US Treasury bonds.
IMF Upgrades UK Growth Forecast Amidst Concerns Over Trump's Economic Policies
The IMF upgraded its UK growth forecast to 1.6% for 2025 but warned that Trump's threatened tariffs could worsen trade tensions, lower investment, and disrupt supply chains globally, potentially causing an inflationary boom followed by a bust and weakening US Treasury bonds.
Progress
40% Bias Score
Showing 85 to 96 of 160 results