Tag #Economic Forecasting

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theglobeandmail.com

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Jan 16, 13:08

Stock Market Outlook 2025: A 3-30 Month Focus

This article details an investment strategy for 2025 that discounts short-term market noise and long-term predictions, focusing solely on factors affecting profitability within the next 3 to 30 months. The author uses historical examples to support their claims, emphasizing the market's accurate ref...

Stock Market Outlook 2025: A 3-30 Month Focus

This article details an investment strategy for 2025 that discounts short-term market noise and long-term predictions, focusing solely on factors affecting profitability within the next 3 to 30 months. The author uses historical examples to support their claims, emphasizing the market's accurate ref...

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What are the key potential market-ending scenarios according to the author, and what is their significance for developing the 2025 outlook?

The author anticipates finalizing their 2025 stock market outlook by focusing on factors impacting profitability within the next 3 to 30 months. Bull markets, according to the author, typically end when either undetected issues emerge or a significant unforeseen negative event occurs. The author's approach emphasizes a focus on medium-term profit factors, avoiding the influence of short-term and long-term factors deemed irrelevant to market trends.

tr.euronews.com

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Nov 6, 01:03

Trump, the Fed, and Inflation: A Second Term's Economic Risks

Analysis of potential economic effects of a second Trump term, focusing on his potential influence on the Federal Reserve's independence and policies.

Trump, the Fed, and Inflation: A Second Term's Economic Risks

Analysis of potential economic effects of a second Trump term, focusing on his potential influence on the Federal Reserve's independence and policies.

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What is the potential impact of Trump's proposed economic policies on inflation?

Trump's proposed tariffs could increase inflation by 2.5 percentage points, potentially forcing the Fed to raise interest rates to combat inflation.

forbes.com

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Jan 9, 01:10

Fed's Bank Stress Tests: A Backward-Looking Approach

This article argues that the Federal Reserve's bank stress tests, while motivated by past crises like 2008, are ineffective because they focus on past events rather than anticipating unpredictable future challenges, thus failing to enhance bank soundness.

Fed's Bank Stress Tests: A Backward-Looking Approach

This article argues that the Federal Reserve's bank stress tests, while motivated by past crises like 2008, are ineffective because they focus on past events rather than anticipating unpredictable future challenges, thus failing to enhance bank soundness.

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How does the author use the analogy of Tolstoy's Anna Karenina to support the main argument?

The author uses the analogy of Tolstoy's Anna Karenina to illustrate that each economic crisis is unique, therefore applying past experiences to predict future outcomes is flawed. The argument is that financial institutions already incorporate past events into their present valuations; stress tests are redundant and focus on known risks.

Showing 13 to 15 of 15 results