Tag #Election Forecasting

Showing 1 to 8 of 8 results

elmundo.es
🌐 75% Global Worthiness
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Madrid Polls Show Ayuso's Dominance Ahead of 2027 Elections

Madrid's May 2nd election polls show Isabel Díaz Ayuso's strong lead, fueled by Más Madrid's internal crisis and PSOE's weak performance; opposition parties are undergoing transformations, uncertain of their candidates and facing Ayuso's popularity.

Progress

64% Bias Score

Gender Equality
kathimerini.gr
🌐 65% Global Worthiness
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Greek Poll Shows New Democracy Gains Amidst Center-Left Decline

A Pulse poll reveals a 1-point rise for Greece's New Democracy party (24%) after welfare announcements for pensioners and renters, while PASOK and SYRIZA continue to decline, leaving a significant 16.5% of voters undecided on election timing.

Progress

36% Bias Score

No Poverty
theguardian.com
🌐 75% Global Worthiness
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Australian Election Polls Show Tight Race, Decline of Two-Party System

Australia's 2025 federal election polls reveal a tight race between Labor and the Coalition, with a record low 68.5% two-party preferred vote share, indicating a shift towards independent and minor parties. Polling data show varying support across demographics.

Progress

28% Bias Score

Reduced Inequality
taz.de
🌐 75% Global Worthiness
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German Left Party at 9% in YouGov Poll: Accuracy and Election Impact Questioned

YouGov's latest poll shows Germany's Left party at 9%, a significant increase since January, raising questions about poll accuracy and potential election outcomes, with some fearing the high number is misleading.

Progress

56% Bias Score

theguardian.com
🌐 75% Global Worthiness
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2025 Australian Election Polls: Tight Race, High Uncertainty

Australian 2025 federal election polls show a tight race with Labor and the Coalition at a record low 68.5% two-party preferred vote, with nearly a third of votes going to independents and other parties; polling models suggest uncertainty and potential overestimation of Labor's support.

Progress

24% Bias Score

Reduced Inequality
theguardian.com
🌐 85% Global Worthiness
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Australia's Two-Party System Weakens: Record Low Major Party Vote

The 2022 Australian federal election saw a record low 68% combined vote for the major parties (Coalition and Labor), with 16 independent or minor party MPs elected to the lower house, reflecting a long-term decline in major party dominance and signaling potential for more frequent minority governmen...

Progress

44% Bias Score

Peace, Justice, and Strong Institutions
smh.com.au
🌐 85% Global Worthiness
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1983 Australian Election: Hawke's Landslide Victory

Bob Hawke's Labor Party achieved a landslide victory in the 1983 Australian federal election, winning 97 seats compared to the Coalition's 50, marking a significant shift in political power and the end of Malcolm Fraser's premiership.

Progress

60% Bias Score

Reduced Inequality
zeit.de
🌐 85% Global Worthiness
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Polymarket Predicts Union Victory in German Election, Contrasting with Polls

Polymarket predicts a German Bundestag election win for the Union with Friedrich Merz as chancellor (30-35% of votes), contrasting with polls showing Merz and Habeck tied at 27% as preferred chancellor candidates; a French investor bet $30 million on Trump's 2020 US election win on the platform.

Progress

40% Bias Score

Reduced Inequality

Showing 1 to 8 of 8 results