U.S. Services Industry Growth Fueled by Tariff Worries
The U.S. services industry saw a significant increase in activity in December (54.1%), but also a sharp rise in prices (64.4%) due to tariff concerns, impacting the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.
U.S. Services Industry Growth Fueled by Tariff Worries
The U.S. services industry saw a significant increase in activity in December (54.1%), but also a sharp rise in prices (64.4%) due to tariff concerns, impacting the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decisions.
Progress
40% Bias Score
Trump Win Spurs Wall Street Rally Despite Economic Uncertainty
US stock markets opened higher following the official confirmation of Donald Trump's election victory by Congress; however, the Dow Jones experienced a slight decline, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq showed gains. This follows a period of market volatility.
Trump Win Spurs Wall Street Rally Despite Economic Uncertainty
US stock markets opened higher following the official confirmation of Donald Trump's election victory by Congress; however, the Dow Jones experienced a slight decline, while the S&P 500 and Nasdaq showed gains. This follows a period of market volatility.
Progress
24% Bias Score
Strong Economic Data Reverses Market Rally; Nvidia Falls, Disney Rises
On Tuesday, the stock market initially rose but reversed course after strong JOLTS and ISM data raised concerns about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, impacting bond yields and causing the Nasdaq to fall significantly while Disney bucked the trend.
Strong Economic Data Reverses Market Rally; Nvidia Falls, Disney Rises
On Tuesday, the stock market initially rose but reversed course after strong JOLTS and ISM data raised concerns about the Federal Reserve's interest rate cuts, impacting bond yields and causing the Nasdaq to fall significantly while Disney bucked the trend.
Progress
36% Bias Score
Barr Resigns from Federal Reserve, Avoiding Potential Trump Conflict
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr resigned on February 28, 2024, to avoid a potential conflict with President-elect Trump; bank stocks rallied on the news, and the Fed will delay major regulatory decisions until a successor is appointed.
Barr Resigns from Federal Reserve, Avoiding Potential Trump Conflict
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr resigned on February 28, 2024, to avoid a potential conflict with President-elect Trump; bank stocks rallied on the news, and the Fed will delay major regulatory decisions until a successor is appointed.
Progress
44% Bias Score
Furman's Critique of Rules-Based Monetary Policy Challenged
Economist Jason Furman's argument against rules-based monetary policy is challenged, highlighting the significant role of political decisions during the 2020 pandemic and the limitations of the Fed's interventions in the face of political actions that caused economic contraction.
Furman's Critique of Rules-Based Monetary Policy Challenged
Economist Jason Furman's argument against rules-based monetary policy is challenged, highlighting the significant role of political decisions during the 2020 pandemic and the limitations of the Fed's interventions in the face of political actions that caused economic contraction.
Progress
60% Bias Score
Strong Market Open, but Economic Headwinds Loom
Strong market openings on January 2, 2025, with S&P 500 futures up 0.7%, follow two years of exceptional growth; however, upcoming economic reports, earnings season, and the Fed meeting pose substantial risks.
Strong Market Open, but Economic Headwinds Loom
Strong market openings on January 2, 2025, with S&P 500 futures up 0.7%, follow two years of exceptional growth; however, upcoming economic reports, earnings season, and the Fed meeting pose substantial risks.
Progress
48% Bias Score
Barr's Resignation Shifts US Bank Regulation Toward Industry-Friendly Approach
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr resigned on Monday, creating an opening for a more industry-friendly successor and potentially weakening upcoming bank regulations under the Trump administration, impacting capital requirements and influencing share buybacks.
Barr's Resignation Shifts US Bank Regulation Toward Industry-Friendly Approach
Federal Reserve Vice Chair for Supervision Michael Barr resigned on Monday, creating an opening for a more industry-friendly successor and potentially weakening upcoming bank regulations under the Trump administration, impacting capital requirements and influencing share buybacks.
Progress
48% Bias Score
Conflicting Economic Signals: Strong 2024 Equities Contrast with 2025 Slowdown Concerns
For the week ending January 3rd, 2025, three major US market indexes fell 0.5%, while the Russell 2000 rose 1%; however, 2024 saw strong equity market gains fueled by tech stocks, but conflicting economic signals emerged in late 2024 and early 2025, with microeconomic indicators suggesting an econom...
Conflicting Economic Signals: Strong 2024 Equities Contrast with 2025 Slowdown Concerns
For the week ending January 3rd, 2025, three major US market indexes fell 0.5%, while the Russell 2000 rose 1%; however, 2024 saw strong equity market gains fueled by tech stocks, but conflicting economic signals emerged in late 2024 and early 2025, with microeconomic indicators suggesting an econom...
Progress
44% Bias Score
Barr Resigns as Fed's Top Bank Regulator
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr announced his resignation as vice chair for supervision on February 28th, 2024, to preempt potential conflicts with the incoming Trump administration and Senate Republicans who opposed his stricter banking regulations; Barr will remain a Fed governor.
Barr Resigns as Fed's Top Bank Regulator
Federal Reserve Governor Michael Barr announced his resignation as vice chair for supervision on February 28th, 2024, to preempt potential conflicts with the incoming Trump administration and Senate Republicans who opposed his stricter banking regulations; Barr will remain a Fed governor.
Progress
60% Bias Score
US Futures Stable Ahead of Key Economic Data
U.S. equity futures saw minimal change Sunday evening before a shortened trading week featuring key economic data releases, including the December jobs report, JOLTS report, and ADP employment survey; major indexes closed higher Friday, but still posted weekly losses; investor concerns linger about ...
US Futures Stable Ahead of Key Economic Data
U.S. equity futures saw minimal change Sunday evening before a shortened trading week featuring key economic data releases, including the December jobs report, JOLTS report, and ADP employment survey; major indexes closed higher Friday, but still posted weekly losses; investor concerns linger about ...
Progress
16% Bias Score
Mixed Stock Start to 2025 Amidst Looming Jobs Report and Economic Data
Stocks had a mixed start to 2025, with the absence of a "Santa Claus" rally creating uncertainty, while the upcoming December jobs report and economic data releases will influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Mixed Stock Start to 2025 Amidst Looming Jobs Report and Economic Data
Stocks had a mixed start to 2025, with the absence of a "Santa Claus" rally creating uncertainty, while the upcoming December jobs report and economic data releases will influence the Federal Reserve's interest rate decisions.
Progress
52% Bias Score
Treasury Yields Fluctuate on Volatile First Trading Day of 2025
On January 2nd, 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.561% after fluctuating throughout the day, while the 2-year yield was 4.246%; this follows a volatile year for Treasuries and comes amidst mixed economic signals.
Treasury Yields Fluctuate on Volatile First Trading Day of 2025
On January 2nd, 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.561% after fluctuating throughout the day, while the 2-year yield was 4.246%; this follows a volatile year for Treasuries and comes amidst mixed economic signals.
Progress
36% Bias Score