Upcoming U.S. Inflation Data to Test Stock Markets
The January 15th release of the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) is expected to influence stock markets and Treasury yields, adding to concerns about inflation and the impact of President Trump's upcoming policies; a Reuters poll predicts a 0.3% monthly increase.
Upcoming U.S. Inflation Data to Test Stock Markets
The January 15th release of the U.S. consumer price index (CPI) is expected to influence stock markets and Treasury yields, adding to concerns about inflation and the impact of President Trump's upcoming policies; a Reuters poll predicts a 0.3% monthly increase.
Progress
52% Bias Score
Treasury Yields Fluctuate on Volatile First Trading Day of 2025
On January 2nd, 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.561% after fluctuating throughout the day, while the 2-year yield was 4.246%; this follows a volatile year for Treasuries and comes amidst mixed economic signals.
Treasury Yields Fluctuate on Volatile First Trading Day of 2025
On January 2nd, 2025, the 10-year Treasury yield closed at 4.561% after fluctuating throughout the day, while the 2-year yield was 4.246%; this follows a volatile year for Treasuries and comes amidst mixed economic signals.
Progress
36% Bias Score
Global Central Banks Fight U.S. Dollar Surge
The U.S. dollar's surge is forcing global central banks to intervene, selling dollar reserves to stabilize their currencies, but this might further strengthen the dollar and increase Treasury yields; Brazil sold \$13.75 billion in dollar reserves in October 2024 alone.
Global Central Banks Fight U.S. Dollar Surge
The U.S. dollar's surge is forcing global central banks to intervene, selling dollar reserves to stabilize their currencies, but this might further strengthen the dollar and increase Treasury yields; Brazil sold \$13.75 billion in dollar reserves in October 2024 alone.
Progress
44% Bias Score
Inflation Fears Trigger U.S. Market Sell-Off
U.S. stocks tumbled on December 2024 after the ISM services index's price index surged to 64.4%, exceeding 60% for the first time since January 2024, prompting concerns about inflation and triggering a rise in Treasury yields and a market sell-off.
Inflation Fears Trigger U.S. Market Sell-Off
U.S. stocks tumbled on December 2024 after the ISM services index's price index surged to 64.4%, exceeding 60% for the first time since January 2024, prompting concerns about inflation and triggering a rise in Treasury yields and a market sell-off.
Progress
60% Bias Score
Rising Interest Rates Threaten 2025 Bull Market
Rising 10-year Treasury yields, currently at 4.573%, threaten the bull market in 2025; historically, such yields correlate with negative equity returns, as evidenced by recent stock market declines when yields exceeded 4.5% and 4.75%.
Rising Interest Rates Threaten 2025 Bull Market
Rising 10-year Treasury yields, currently at 4.573%, threaten the bull market in 2025; historically, such yields correlate with negative equity returns, as evidenced by recent stock market declines when yields exceeded 4.5% and 4.75%.
Progress
44% Bias Score
Strong Dollar, High Yields Squeeze Emerging Markets
The strong U.S. dollar and high Treasury yields are creating significant challenges for emerging economies, exemplified by China and Brazil's contrasting yet similarly ineffective responses, resulting in weak currencies and slow growth; capital flows to emerging markets are projected to decline by 2...
Strong Dollar, High Yields Squeeze Emerging Markets
The strong U.S. dollar and high Treasury yields are creating significant challenges for emerging economies, exemplified by China and Brazil's contrasting yet similarly ineffective responses, resulting in weak currencies and slow growth; capital flows to emerging markets are projected to decline by 2...
Progress
48% Bias Score