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Ukraine's Nuclear Gamble
Analysis of Ukrainian President Zelensky's strategy of hinting at the potential development of nuclear weapons to pressure allies for support against Russia.
Spanish
Spain
International RelationsRussia Ukraine WarGeopoliticsEuropean UnionMilitary TechnologyUkraine ConflictMilitary StrategyNuclear Proliferation
NatoThe TimesNational Institute For Strategic Studies (Niss)Center For Eastern StudiesRazumkov Center
Volodymyr ZelenskyDonald TrumpMark RutteOleg RibachukMijailo Podoliak
- What is the historical context regarding Ukraine's nuclear weapons?
- Ukraine gave up its nuclear arsenal in 1996 in exchange for security guarantees from the Budapest Memorandum. Zelensky argues that because Ukraine is now in a war and the guarantors haven't protected it, the option of developing nuclear weapons must be considered.
- What are the potential consequences of Ukraine developing nuclear weapons?
- A report from Ukraine's National Institute for Strategic Studies suggests Ukraine could develop a rudimentary nuclear bomb within months. However, Ukraine's Foreign Ministry has denied any intention of acquiring nuclear weapons.
- What is the "Hail Mary" strategy mentioned in the context of the Ukrainian conflict?
- Volodymyr Zelensky's strategy is described as a Hail Mary, a last-ditch effort to achieve victory, referring to the possibility of Ukraine developing its own nuclear weapons. This is seen as a way to pressure allies into accepting Ukraine into NATO and allowing the use of long-range missiles.
- What is the significance of the NISS report regarding Ukrainian nuclear capabilities?
- The potential for Ukraine to develop nuclear weapons quickly has caused considerable international attention and debate. This has prompted discussions on the role of international security commitments and the risks of nuclear proliferation.
- What are the different perspectives on Ukraine's potential nuclear weapons development?
- Experts have varying opinions on the likelihood and implications of Ukraine developing nuclear weapons. Some believe it's a provocation to pressure allies, others see it as a desperate gambit, and still others express concern about nuclear proliferation.