2025 Economic Outlook: Strong Growth Amidst Rising Interest Rate Risks
In 2025, a strong US economy (3% GDP) and record corporate profits (15% increase) are offset by potential headwinds: the Federal Reserve's policy choices, tariff impacts, tech valuations, and rising bond yields (currently at 4.63%, potentially triggering market corrections above 4.75%).
2025 Economic Outlook: Strong Growth Amidst Rising Interest Rate Risks
In 2025, a strong US economy (3% GDP) and record corporate profits (15% increase) are offset by potential headwinds: the Federal Reserve's policy choices, tariff impacts, tech valuations, and rising bond yields (currently at 4.63%, potentially triggering market corrections above 4.75%).
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52% Bias Score
Canadian Stock Market: Long-Term Growth Despite Significant Downturns
The S&P/TSX Composite Index, from January 1956 to November 2024, showed a 9.2 percent average annual return (5.4 percent inflation-adjusted), with significant market downturns (41-49 percent) but consistent long-term growth across all 30-year rolling periods.
Canadian Stock Market: Long-Term Growth Despite Significant Downturns
The S&P/TSX Composite Index, from January 1956 to November 2024, showed a 9.2 percent average annual return (5.4 percent inflation-adjusted), with significant market downturns (41-49 percent) but consistent long-term growth across all 30-year rolling periods.
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44% Bias Score
Spain's Inflation Surges to 2.8% in December 2024
Spain's inflation unexpectedly surged to 2.8% in December 2024, exceeding forecasts and driven primarily by rising fuel and leisure costs, defying economists' predictions and raising concerns for 2025.
Spain's Inflation Surges to 2.8% in December 2024
Spain's inflation unexpectedly surged to 2.8% in December 2024, exceeding forecasts and driven primarily by rising fuel and leisure costs, defying economists' predictions and raising concerns for 2025.
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44% Bias Score
Spanish Household Savings Surge to 7.1% in Q3 2024
Spanish household savings surged to 7.1% of gross disposable income in Q3 2024, a 1.6-point increase year-on-year, driven by lower inflation (2.5% annual average), strong job growth (21.3 million employed), and wage increases.
Spanish Household Savings Surge to 7.1% in Q3 2024
Spanish household savings surged to 7.1% of gross disposable income in Q3 2024, a 1.6-point increase year-on-year, driven by lower inflation (2.5% annual average), strong job growth (21.3 million employed), and wage increases.
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24% Bias Score
U.S. Stock Market Predicted to Decline in Early 2025 Due to Eight Factors
The U.S. stock market's 2024 rise, exceeding company earnings and economic fundamentals, is unsustainable and is expected to decline in early 2025 due to eight factors: outpacing earnings, bond market break, inflation, falling homebuilder stocks, U.S. government fiscal issues, global conflicts, clim...
U.S. Stock Market Predicted to Decline in Early 2025 Due to Eight Factors
The U.S. stock market's 2024 rise, exceeding company earnings and economic fundamentals, is unsustainable and is expected to decline in early 2025 due to eight factors: outpacing earnings, bond market break, inflation, falling homebuilder stocks, U.S. government fiscal issues, global conflicts, clim...
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48% Bias Score
UK Retail Job Losses Surge to 169,395 in 2024
The UK retail sector experienced a significant increase in job losses in 2024, with 169,395 positions lost due to business failures and cost-cutting, exceeding the 2020 pandemic levels, and is predicted to worsen in 2025.
UK Retail Job Losses Surge to 169,395 in 2024
The UK retail sector experienced a significant increase in job losses in 2024, with 169,395 positions lost due to business failures and cost-cutting, exceeding the 2020 pandemic levels, and is predicted to worsen in 2025.
Progress
40% Bias Score
Spain's 3.3% GDP Growth in 2024: Resilience Amidst Persistent Challenges
Spain's 2024 GDP grew by 3.3% year-on-year, driven by domestic consumption (2.6 percentage points) and exports (1.6 percentage points), despite challenges like wage inequality and low productivity.
Spain's 3.3% GDP Growth in 2024: Resilience Amidst Persistent Challenges
Spain's 2024 GDP grew by 3.3% year-on-year, driven by domestic consumption (2.6 percentage points) and exports (1.6 percentage points), despite challenges like wage inequality and low productivity.
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32% Bias Score
Asian Markets Mixed After US Stock Drop, Deadly Plane Crash
Asian markets showed mixed results Monday, with South Korea's Kospi rising 0.6% despite a deadly plane crash killing 179, while Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 0.9%; US futures were lower, and oil prices were little changed; political turmoil continues in South Korea with a warrant requested for the impeach...
Asian Markets Mixed After US Stock Drop, Deadly Plane Crash
Asian markets showed mixed results Monday, with South Korea's Kospi rising 0.6% despite a deadly plane crash killing 179, while Japan's Nikkei 225 fell 0.9%; US futures were lower, and oil prices were little changed; political turmoil continues in South Korea with a warrant requested for the impeach...
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40% Bias Score
French Stocks Underperform Amidst Political Uncertainty and Global Economic Headwinds
French stocks are experiencing potentially their worst year since 2008 due to investor concerns about political instability, trade wars, and a cost of living crisis; the CAC 40 index is down 3% year-to-date, underperforming compared to other major European indexes such as the Stoxx 50 (up 7.96%) and...
French Stocks Underperform Amidst Political Uncertainty and Global Economic Headwinds
French stocks are experiencing potentially their worst year since 2008 due to investor concerns about political instability, trade wars, and a cost of living crisis; the CAC 40 index is down 3% year-to-date, underperforming compared to other major European indexes such as the Stoxx 50 (up 7.96%) and...
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44% Bias Score
Turkey's Economic Confidence Index Rises Amidst Lingering Challenges
Turkey's December 2024 economic confidence index rose to 98.8, up from 97.1 in November, driven by improvements in various sectors, despite past economic challenges related to high inflation and controversial monetary policies.
Turkey's Economic Confidence Index Rises Amidst Lingering Challenges
Turkey's December 2024 economic confidence index rose to 98.8, up from 97.1 in November, driven by improvements in various sectors, despite past economic challenges related to high inflation and controversial monetary policies.
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40% Bias Score
US Productivity Surge Fuels Economic Growth Amidst Cooling Job Market
US productivity is surging, at least 2% quarterly growth this year, fueling strong economic growth despite easing inflation and a cooling job market; this contrasts with slower growth in Europe and Canada, partially attributed to pandemic-era government support and resulting business adaptations.
US Productivity Surge Fuels Economic Growth Amidst Cooling Job Market
US productivity is surging, at least 2% quarterly growth this year, fueling strong economic growth despite easing inflation and a cooling job market; this contrasts with slower growth in Europe and Canada, partially attributed to pandemic-era government support and resulting business adaptations.
Progress
36% Bias Score
NRW Public Transit Ticket Prices to Increase in 2025
Public transportation ticket prices in North Rhine-Westphalia will rise by an average of 5.5% (VRR), 5.9% (VRS), and 5.75% (AVV) in 2025 due to increased energy, personnel, and material costs; the Deutschlandticket will increase by 18% to €58; only WestfalenTarif is not raising prices immediately.
NRW Public Transit Ticket Prices to Increase in 2025
Public transportation ticket prices in North Rhine-Westphalia will rise by an average of 5.5% (VRR), 5.9% (VRS), and 5.75% (AVV) in 2025 due to increased energy, personnel, and material costs; the Deutschlandticket will increase by 18% to €58; only WestfalenTarif is not raising prices immediately.
Progress
36% Bias Score