PBOC Halts Bond Purchases to Counter Yuan Weakness
China's central bank halted government bond purchases on Friday to counter a weakening yuan and record-low bond yields, driven by a widening yield gap with U.S. bonds and expectations of future stimulus. The move aims to stabilize the currency and increase yields.
PBOC Halts Bond Purchases to Counter Yuan Weakness
China's central bank halted government bond purchases on Friday to counter a weakening yuan and record-low bond yields, driven by a widening yield gap with U.S. bonds and expectations of future stimulus. The move aims to stabilize the currency and increase yields.
Progress
24% Bias Score
Fed Revises Inflation Target Timeline Due to Higher-Than-Expected Readings
The Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes indicate that returning inflation to its 2% target will take longer than anticipated due to higher-than-expected recent inflation readings and potential policy changes, leading to a slower pace of interest rate cuts.
Fed Revises Inflation Target Timeline Due to Higher-Than-Expected Readings
The Federal Reserve's December meeting minutes indicate that returning inflation to its 2% target will take longer than anticipated due to higher-than-expected recent inflation readings and potential policy changes, leading to a slower pace of interest rate cuts.
Progress
28% Bias Score
Eurozone Inflation Rises to 2.4% in December 2024
Eurozone inflation reached 2.4 percent year-on-year in December 2024, up from 2.2 percent in November, with services inflation at 4 percent. Germany's inflation was 2.6 percent.
Eurozone Inflation Rises to 2.4% in December 2024
Eurozone inflation reached 2.4 percent year-on-year in December 2024, up from 2.2 percent in November, with services inflation at 4 percent. Germany's inflation was 2.6 percent.
Progress
16% Bias Score
Germany's Inflation Remains Elevated Amidst Rising Costs and Weak Economy
Germany's inflation is expected to remain high in January due to increased CO2 taxes, higher Deutschlandticket prices, and rising service costs, with economists predicting a 2.5 percent rate and warning against rapid interest rate cuts.
Germany's Inflation Remains Elevated Amidst Rising Costs and Weak Economy
Germany's inflation is expected to remain high in January due to increased CO2 taxes, higher Deutschlandticket prices, and rising service costs, with economists predicting a 2.5 percent rate and warning against rapid interest rate cuts.
Progress
28% Bias Score
China Shifts to "Moderately Loose" Monetary Policy After 14 Years
China has adopted a "moderately loose" monetary policy for 2025, marking a significant shift from its 14-year "prudent" stance, involving interest rate cuts, reserve requirement ratio reductions, and unconventional measures to boost domestic demand, stabilize the yuan, and counter economic headwinds...
China Shifts to "Moderately Loose" Monetary Policy After 14 Years
China has adopted a "moderately loose" monetary policy for 2025, marking a significant shift from its 14-year "prudent" stance, involving interest rate cuts, reserve requirement ratio reductions, and unconventional measures to boost domestic demand, stabilize the yuan, and counter economic headwinds...
Progress
48% Bias Score
Conflicting Stock Market Outlook for 2025: Bullish Predictions Meet Investor Skepticism
Stock market analysts predict a 14-19% increase in the S&P 500 in 2025, driven by earnings growth, but retail investor sentiment shows declining bullishness and rising bearishness, amidst concerns about trade policy and monetary policy.
Conflicting Stock Market Outlook for 2025: Bullish Predictions Meet Investor Skepticism
Stock market analysts predict a 14-19% increase in the S&P 500 in 2025, driven by earnings growth, but retail investor sentiment shows declining bullishness and rising bearishness, amidst concerns about trade policy and monetary policy.
Progress
44% Bias Score
Euro Nears Parity Amidst US Tariffs and Monetary Divergence
The Euro is nearing parity with the dollar due to stronger-than-expected US job growth, anticipated Federal Reserve tightening, and the potential impact of new US tariffs on European exports, along with divergent monetary policies and geopolitical uncertainty.
Euro Nears Parity Amidst US Tariffs and Monetary Divergence
The Euro is nearing parity with the dollar due to stronger-than-expected US job growth, anticipated Federal Reserve tightening, and the potential impact of new US tariffs on European exports, along with divergent monetary policies and geopolitical uncertainty.
Progress
48% Bias Score
Volcker's 1979 Monetary Shock: Recession, Stability, and Political Upheaval
In 1979, to combat soaring inflation and a falling dollar, President Carter replaced Federal Reserve Chairman G. William Miller with Paul Volcker, who implemented drastic monetary policies resulting in a deep recession but ultimately restoring economic stability and influencing future economic polic...
Volcker's 1979 Monetary Shock: Recession, Stability, and Political Upheaval
In 1979, to combat soaring inflation and a falling dollar, President Carter replaced Federal Reserve Chairman G. William Miller with Paul Volcker, who implemented drastic monetary policies resulting in a deep recession but ultimately restoring economic stability and influencing future economic polic...
Progress
52% Bias Score
Sweden's Inflation Slowdown Fuels Rate Cut Expectations
Sweden's inflation cooled in December, with CPIF at 1.5% and CPI at 0.8%, fueling expectations of another interest rate cut by the Riksbank on January 28th, following five cuts in 2024, despite concerns about lagged effects of monetary policy.
Sweden's Inflation Slowdown Fuels Rate Cut Expectations
Sweden's inflation cooled in December, with CPIF at 1.5% and CPI at 0.8%, fueling expectations of another interest rate cut by the Riksbank on January 28th, following five cuts in 2024, despite concerns about lagged effects of monetary policy.
Progress
36% Bias Score
Eurozone Inflation Edges Up in December 2024, Future Risks Remain
Eurostat reported 2.4% inflation for December 2024 in the Eurozone, exceeding the ECB's target slightly but remaining below 2023 peaks; rising service prices and potential trade conflicts pose future risks.
Eurozone Inflation Edges Up in December 2024, Future Risks Remain
Eurostat reported 2.4% inflation for December 2024 in the Eurozone, exceeding the ECB's target slightly but remaining below 2023 peaks; rising service prices and potential trade conflicts pose future risks.
Progress
40% Bias Score
Bitcoin's 2025 Surge: Record Hash Rate, Institutional Adoption, and Sovereign Interest
Bitcoin's robust fundamentals, including a record-high hash rate and surging on-chain activity, signal a strong start to 2025, fueled by institutional investment, ETF growth, and growing adoption by sovereign states, potentially reaching $185,000 this year, according to Galaxy Research.
Bitcoin's 2025 Surge: Record Hash Rate, Institutional Adoption, and Sovereign Interest
Bitcoin's robust fundamentals, including a record-high hash rate and surging on-chain activity, signal a strong start to 2025, fueled by institutional investment, ETF growth, and growing adoption by sovereign states, potentially reaching $185,000 this year, according to Galaxy Research.
Progress
56% Bias Score
Furman's Critique of Rules-Based Monetary Policy Challenged
Economist Jason Furman's argument against rules-based monetary policy is challenged, highlighting the significant role of political decisions during the 2020 pandemic and the limitations of the Fed's interventions in the face of political actions that caused economic contraction.
Furman's Critique of Rules-Based Monetary Policy Challenged
Economist Jason Furman's argument against rules-based monetary policy is challenged, highlighting the significant role of political decisions during the 2020 pandemic and the limitations of the Fed's interventions in the face of political actions that caused economic contraction.
Progress
60% Bias Score