Tag #Recession

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edition.cnn.com

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Apr 15, 04:10

Consumer Pessimism on Unemployment Spikes to Pandemic Levels

A March 2024 New York Fed survey reveals 44% of Americans believe unemployment will rise in the next year, the highest since April 2020, driven by unpredictable federal policies and recession fears, despite continued job market strength.

Consumer Pessimism on Unemployment Spikes to Pandemic Levels

A March 2024 New York Fed survey reveals 44% of Americans believe unemployment will rise in the next year, the highest since April 2020, driven by unpredictable federal policies and recession fears, despite continued job market strength.

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How do the rising inflation expectations, as revealed by the survey, connect to President Trump's trade policies and the potential for a self-fulfilling prophecy?

The New York Fed's Consumer Expectations survey reveals growing unease about job security and inflation, potentially impacting consumer spending and economic growth. This contrasts with continued job market strength, highlighting a disconnect between consumer sentiment and objective economic indicators. The high inflation expectations could create a self-fulfilling prophecy.

dailymail.co.uk

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Apr 14, 22:09

Record Bank Profits Amidst Market Turmoil and 401(k) Losses

Major US banks reported record profits in Q1 2019, exceeding analysts' expectations, while market volatility caused by President Trump's tariffs led to significant losses in many Americans' 401(k) retirement accounts, highlighting a systemic risk.

Record Bank Profits Amidst Market Turmoil and 401(k) Losses

Major US banks reported record profits in Q1 2019, exceeding analysts' expectations, while market volatility caused by President Trump's tariffs led to significant losses in many Americans' 401(k) retirement accounts, highlighting a systemic risk.

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What were the immediate financial impacts of the increased market volatility on major US banks and average American investors?

Major US banks, including JPMorgan, Morgan Stanley, and Goldman Sachs, reported record profits in the first quarter of 2019, exceeding analysts' expectations. This surge in profits coincided with a significant drop in the stock market and losses in many Americans' 401(k) retirement accounts. The banks benefited from increased trading activity fueled by market uncertainty.

cnn.com

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Apr 14, 19:15

US Stocks Rise Slightly on Tariff Exemptions, but Economic Uncertainty Persists

US stocks rose slightly on Monday following temporary tariff exemptions on some Chinese electronics imports, but uncertainty persists amid a volatile economic climate and lowered growth forecasts. The Dow gained 160 points (0.4%), while the S&P 500 rose 0.5%.

US Stocks Rise Slightly on Tariff Exemptions, but Economic Uncertainty Persists

US stocks rose slightly on Monday following temporary tariff exemptions on some Chinese electronics imports, but uncertainty persists amid a volatile economic climate and lowered growth forecasts. The Dow gained 160 points (0.4%), while the S&P 500 rose 0.5%.

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What is the immediate market impact of the temporary tariff exemptions on electronics from China, and how does this relate to broader economic uncertainty?

US stocks saw a slight increase on Monday, with the Dow Jones up 0.4% and the S&P 500 up 0.5%, driven by temporary tariff exemptions on electronics from China. However, this rally was short-lived, and uncertainty remains regarding the ongoing trade war and its impact on the economy.

taz.de

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Apr 14, 22:09

Austerity's Return: A Political Weapon or Economic Solution?

British Labour's Rachel Reeves, Argentinian President Milei, and Elon Musk advocate austerity for their economies; however, historical evidence suggests austerity can harm growth and increase inequality, potentially failing to achieve its goals.

Austerity's Return: A Political Weapon or Economic Solution?

British Labour's Rachel Reeves, Argentinian President Milei, and Elon Musk advocate austerity for their economies; however, historical evidence suggests austerity can harm growth and increase inequality, potentially failing to achieve its goals.

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What are the immediate economic and social consequences of the proposed austerity measures in the UK, Argentina, and the US?

British Labour politician Rachel Reeves, Argentinian President Javier Milei, and Elon Musk, advisor to Trump, advocate austerity as a solution for their respective economies. Reeves, the UK's shadow chancellor, tightened spending rules despite 15 years of austerity contributing to the nation's problems. Milei promotes extreme austerity as the price for Argentina's alleged overspending, claiming inflation control is key, even if it worsens poverty.

cnn.com

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Apr 13, 22:10

Trump's Shifting Tariff Policy on Electronics Causes Market Chaos

President Trump's administration temporarily exempted electronic devices from tariffs, causing confusion and market volatility, while preparing separate semiconductor tariffs; this policy is criticized for its inconsistency and negative economic impact.

Trump's Shifting Tariff Policy on Electronics Causes Market Chaos

President Trump's administration temporarily exempted electronic devices from tariffs, causing confusion and market volatility, while preparing separate semiconductor tariffs; this policy is criticized for its inconsistency and negative economic impact.

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What are the immediate economic consequences of the Trump administration's fluctuating tariff policy on electronic devices?

The Trump administration temporarily exempted electronic devices from tariffs, but these will face separate levies later. This decision caused confusion and market volatility, as evidenced by negative reactions from investors and economists.

cincodias.elpais.com

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Apr 13, 10:08

Trump's Tariffs Trigger Wall Street Backlash, Market Downturn

President Trump's imposition of tariffs, initially welcomed by Wall Street as the 'Trump Trade', led to a market downturn exceeding €9 trillion in global market capitalization, prompting prominent investors like Bill Ackman and Ken Griffin to publicly criticize the policies and predict negative econ...

Trump's Tariffs Trigger Wall Street Backlash, Market Downturn

President Trump's imposition of tariffs, initially welcomed by Wall Street as the 'Trump Trade', led to a market downturn exceeding €9 trillion in global market capitalization, prompting prominent investors like Bill Ackman and Ken Griffin to publicly criticize the policies and predict negative econ...

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What were the immediate market consequences of President Trump's imposition of tariffs, and how did these consequences affect investor confidence?

Initially, Wall Street enthusiastically embraced Trump's economic policies, anticipating deregulation and tax cuts. However, this 'Trump Trade' honeymoon ended as Trump's protectionist measures, including tariffs, sparked market anxieties and caused significant losses exceeding €9 trillion in global market capitalization.

forbes.com

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Apr 15, 19:17

Great Stay" Trend Emerges Amidst 2025 Layoff Fears

The 2025 "Great Stay" trend, fueled by February's record-high layoffs (including high-profile federal cuts), reveals that four out of five U.S. workers fear job loss this year, prompting a reassessment of career strategies and financial planning.

Great Stay" Trend Emerges Amidst 2025 Layoff Fears

The 2025 "Great Stay" trend, fueled by February's record-high layoffs (including high-profile federal cuts), reveals that four out of five U.S. workers fear job loss this year, prompting a reassessment of career strategies and financial planning.

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How do the high-profile federal layoffs specifically contribute to the overall sense of job insecurity among U.S. workers?

The "Great Stay" trend reflects a shift from the "Great Resignation," driven by increased job insecurity due to mass layoffs and economic uncertainty. The high number of federal layoffs has heightened this anxiety, impacting worker confidence and career strategies.

forbes.com

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Apr 14, 13:16

FOMC's 2025 Rate Cut Projections Uncertain Amidst Economic Volatility

Fixed income markets project multiple interest rate cuts by the FOMC in 2025, despite recent volatility, with the number of cuts uncertain due to rising longer-term bond rates and evolving economic forecasts, including projections of slower growth and higher inflation. A 50 percent chance of a 2025 ...

FOMC's 2025 Rate Cut Projections Uncertain Amidst Economic Volatility

Fixed income markets project multiple interest rate cuts by the FOMC in 2025, despite recent volatility, with the number of cuts uncertain due to rising longer-term bond rates and evolving economic forecasts, including projections of slower growth and higher inflation. A 50 percent chance of a 2025 ...

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How do rising longer-term interest rates and the prediction market's recession probability affect the FOMC's decision-making process?

The anticipation of slower economic growth (below 1 percent real GDP growth) and higher inflation (3.5-4 percent) in 2025, partly due to tariffs and immigration policies, is driving the FOMC's rate cut projections. The unemployment rate is expected to rise from 4.2 percent to 4.5-5 percent. Prediction markets, such as Polymarket, assign a 50 percent probability to a 2025 recession.

theglobeandmail.com

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Apr 14, 19:15

Canada Faces Recession Risks Amidst U.S. Trade War

Growing recession risks in Canada linked to the U.S.-led trade war are pushing the Bank of Canada toward further interest rate cuts, despite economists' differing views on the immediate future, with a majority (60%) predicting the central bank will hold steady this week. The recent drop to 1.2% grow...

Canada Faces Recession Risks Amidst U.S. Trade War

Growing recession risks in Canada linked to the U.S.-led trade war are pushing the Bank of Canada toward further interest rate cuts, despite economists' differing views on the immediate future, with a majority (60%) predicting the central bank will hold steady this week. The recent drop to 1.2% grow...

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What is the primary reason for the expectation of further interest rate cuts by the Bank of Canada?

The Bank of Canada is expected to cut interest rates at least twice more this year due to growing recession risks stemming from the U.S.-led trade war. Economists predict Canadian economic growth of 1.2% this year, down from a previous prediction of 1.7%, with some even forecasting a recession. The recent cut to 2.75% marks the seventh consecutive reduction, totaling 225 basis points since June.

theglobeandmail.com

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Apr 14, 22:09

Trump Tariffs Pose Significant Economic Uncertainty, Fed Governor Warns

Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated that the Trump administration's tariff policies pose a significant economic shock, potentially causing a recession and requiring interest rate cuts, or alternatively, having minimal impact if tariffs are used as a negotiating tool. The uncertainty makes economi...

Trump Tariffs Pose Significant Economic Uncertainty, Fed Governor Warns

Fed Governor Christopher Waller stated that the Trump administration's tariff policies pose a significant economic shock, potentially causing a recession and requiring interest rate cuts, or alternatively, having minimal impact if tariffs are used as a negotiating tool. The uncertainty makes economi...

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What are the potential long-term implications of the tariff policies on inflation, employment, and the Federal Reserve's monetary policy strategy?

The long-term effects of the tariffs remain highly uncertain. If tariffs remain high, the U.S. could experience a prolonged economic slowdown with increased unemployment. Conversely, if negotiations limit tariffs, the economy may experience a moderate slowdown, but inflation could still fall toward the Fed's 2% target. These diverging outcomes highlight the significant challenges facing the Federal Reserve in navigating this policy uncertainty.

abcnews.go.com

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Apr 13, 19:13

Warren Condemns Trump's "Chaotic" Tariff Policy, Warns of Recession

Senator Elizabeth Warren sharply criticized President Trump's tariff policy on Sunday, calling it "chaos and corruption" and warning of a potential recession due to its unpredictability and lack of planning, while urging Republicans to join Democrats in opposing it.

Warren Condemns Trump's "Chaotic" Tariff Policy, Warns of Recession

Senator Elizabeth Warren sharply criticized President Trump's tariff policy on Sunday, calling it "chaos and corruption" and warning of a potential recession due to its unpredictability and lack of planning, while urging Republicans to join Democrats in opposing it.

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What are the immediate economic consequences of President Trump's inconsistent and seemingly unplanned tariff policy, as assessed by Senator Warren?

Senator Elizabeth Warren criticizes President Trump's tariff policy as chaotic and lacking a plan, citing the exemption of smartphones, computers, and chips from the tariffs and the subsequent market surge. She questions the declared emergency justifying tariffs on numerous countries, highlighting the inconsistency and potential harm to the U.S. economy.

elmundo.es

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Apr 13, 22:10

Global Uncertainty Drives Record Gold Accumulation by Central Banks

Gold's value as a safe haven asset is increasing due to global uncertainty and inflation, leading central banks to accumulate record amounts of gold reserves; this trend is expected to continue.

Global Uncertainty Drives Record Gold Accumulation by Central Banks

Gold's value as a safe haven asset is increasing due to global uncertainty and inflation, leading central banks to accumulate record amounts of gold reserves; this trend is expected to continue.

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How has gold's performance during past economic crises shaped its role as a safe haven asset?

Gold's resilience is evident throughout history; during major recessions since the 1970s, its value either held steady or increased while other assets plummeted. This behavior is explained by gold's physical nature, long history as a store of value, and independence from any single economic or political system. The current geopolitical climate, marked by trade wars and inflation concerns, is driving increased demand for gold.

Showing 145 to 156 of 474 results