Tag #2024 Yr4

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Jan 30, 01:07

1.2% Chance of Asteroid Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in 2024 by ATLAS, has a 1.2 percent chance of hitting Earth on December 22, 2032, posing a potential threat based on its size (196 feet) and the uncertainty surrounding its composition and trajectory, though the risk remains low.

1.2% Chance of Asteroid Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in 2024 by ATLAS, has a 1.2 percent chance of hitting Earth on December 22, 2032, posing a potential threat based on its size (196 feet) and the uncertainty surrounding its composition and trajectory, though the risk remains low.

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How does the uncertainty regarding 2024 YR4's composition and size affect the assessment of potential damage?

The 1.2 percent impact probability, while low, necessitates further study of 2024 YR4's composition and size to accurately assess potential damage. Current estimations rely on brightness, which is affected by surface reflectivity and could lead to inaccurate size assessments. The risk corridor currently spans from South America across the Atlantic to sub-Saharan Africa, though this is subject to change.

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Jan 29, 13:09

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Poses 1.2% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

The International Astronomy Center announced a 1.2% chance of asteroid 2024 YR4, 40-100 meters in diameter, impacting Earth on December 22, 2032; current observations are insufficient to definitively confirm or rule out the impact, with further observations planned for 2028.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Poses 1.2% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

The International Astronomy Center announced a 1.2% chance of asteroid 2024 YR4, 40-100 meters in diameter, impacting Earth on December 22, 2032; current observations are insufficient to definitively confirm or rule out the impact, with further observations planned for 2028.

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What is the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth, and what is the potential scale of damage based on current data?

A newly discovered asteroid, designated 2024 YR4, poses a potential threat to Earth. With a diameter of 40-100 meters, it currently has a 1.2% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, according to the International Astronomy Center. This is the highest probability of impact ever recorded for an asteroid of this size.

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