Tag #2024 Yr4

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forbes.com

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Apr 9, 19:20

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Hockey-Puck Shaped Space Rock Poses Low Risk to Moon

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially posing a small risk of impacting Earth in 2032, is now found to have a 3.8% chance of impacting the moon on December 22, 2032; observations reveal it originated from the central main asteroid belt, is solid rock shaped like a hockey puck, and is about 200 feet wide.

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Hockey-Puck Shaped Space Rock Poses Low Risk to Moon

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially posing a small risk of impacting Earth in 2032, is now found to have a 3.8% chance of impacting the moon on December 22, 2032; observations reveal it originated from the central main asteroid belt, is solid rock shaped like a hockey puck, and is about 200 feet wide.

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What is the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting the moon in 2032, and what scientific benefits could such an impact offer?

The asteroid's unusual shape and origin challenge previous assumptions about Earth-crossing asteroids. Its solid rock composition, unlike many larger "rubble pile" asteroids, offers crucial insights for planetary defense strategies. This information can inform future mitigation efforts, such as those modeled by the DART mission.

cbsnews.com

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Apr 2, 22:16

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Near-Zero Earth Impact Risk, but 2% Chance of Hitting the Moon

The 2024 YR4 asteroid, initially posing a 3% risk of hitting Earth in 2032, now has a near-zero chance of an Earth impact but a 2% chance of hitting the moon, according to new data from the James Webb Space Telescope.

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Near-Zero Earth Impact Risk, but 2% Chance of Hitting the Moon

The 2024 YR4 asteroid, initially posing a 3% risk of hitting Earth in 2032, now has a near-zero chance of an Earth impact but a 2% chance of hitting the moon, according to new data from the James Webb Space Telescope.

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What is the probability of the asteroid hitting the moon, and how does this compare to previous estimates?

More precise observations from the James Webb Space Telescope have significantly reduced the probability of the 2024 YR4 asteroid hitting Earth. While the risk of an Earth impact is now negligible, a small probability of a lunar collision persists. This highlights the ongoing need for asteroid tracking and analysis, especially for objects posing a potential threat to either Earth or the Moon.

bbc.com

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Feb 23, 01:07

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Impact Probability Revised Downward

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially posing a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032, now has a 0.28% chance of impact, with a 1% chance of hitting the Moon instead; this highlights the constant, largely unnoticed influx of space debris near Earth, some of which holds significant scientific value.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Impact Probability Revised Downward

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially posing a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth in 2032, now has a 0.28% chance of impact, with a 1% chance of hitting the Moon instead; this highlights the constant, largely unnoticed influx of space debris near Earth, some of which holds significant scientific value.

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What is the current probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth, and what are the immediate implications of this revised assessment?

The asteroid 2024 YR4 initially presented a 3.1% chance of impacting Earth in 2032, but this probability has been revised down to 0.28%. There's now a 1% chance it will hit the Moon instead. Many other smaller asteroids have passed closer to Earth than the Moon, largely unnoticed.

cbsnews.com

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Feb 19, 22:13

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Poses 3.1% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered on December 27, 2024, has a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth on December 22, 2032, potentially causing city-level devastation depending on the impact location; scientists are closely monitoring its trajectory.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Poses 3.1% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered on December 27, 2024, has a 3.1% chance of hitting Earth on December 22, 2032, potentially causing city-level devastation depending on the impact location; scientists are closely monitoring its trajectory.

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What is the current risk assessment of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth, and what would be the immediate consequences of such an impact?

Asteroid 2024 YR4, estimated to be 130-300 feet wide, has a 3.1% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032. If it hits a populated area, the consequences would be catastrophic, causing city-level devastation, though not a global climate event.

dailymail.co.uk

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Feb 17, 13:10

Asteroid 2024 YR4: 2.2% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 2.2% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, potentially causing city-level devastation based on its estimated size (40-90 meters) and trajectory. NASA and ESA are using the James Webb Space Telescope to refine its orbit and potential impact zone.

Asteroid 2024 YR4: 2.2% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4 has a 2.2% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, potentially causing city-level devastation based on its estimated size (40-90 meters) and trajectory. NASA and ESA are using the James Webb Space Telescope to refine its orbit and potential impact zone.

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What factors determine the severity of the potential impact of asteroid 2024 YR4, and how do these factors influence the predicted damage?

The asteroid's potential impact poses a significant threat to densely populated areas. A direct hit on a major city like Tokyo or New York could result in widespread casualties and destruction due to the shockwave and blast radius. The relatively high Torino Scale rating of 3 reflects this concern.

dailymail.co.uk

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Feb 14, 13:12

Asteroid 2024 YR4: 2.1% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4, up to 90 meters in diameter, has a 2.1% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, with a potential impact zone including densely populated areas across multiple continents.

Asteroid 2024 YR4: 2.1% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4, up to 90 meters in diameter, has a 2.1% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, with a potential impact zone including densely populated areas across multiple continents.

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What is the immediate threat posed by asteroid 2024 YR4, and which regions are most at risk?

Asteroid 2024 YR4, estimated at up to 90 meters in diameter, has a 2.1% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032. The potential impact zone includes densely populated areas in South America, the Pacific, Africa, and Asia, posing a significant threat. A collision could unleash an explosion equivalent to eight megatons of TNT.

forbes.com

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Apr 4, 01:18

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Increased Chance of Moon Impact in 2032

NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory revised the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting the Moon on December 22, 2032, upward to 3.8 percent due to new James Webb Space Telescope data revealing it is larger than previously estimated; this could affect the Artemis program.

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Increased Chance of Moon Impact in 2032

NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory revised the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting the Moon on December 22, 2032, upward to 3.8 percent due to new James Webb Space Telescope data revealing it is larger than previously estimated; this could affect the Artemis program.

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What is the current probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting the Moon, and what are the potential consequences for ongoing or planned lunar missions?

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially deemed a minor threat to Earth, now presents a 3.8 percent chance of impacting the Moon on December 22, 2032, according to NASA's Jet Propulsion Laboratory. This revised probability, up from 1.7 percent, is based on recent James Webb Space Telescope observations revealing the asteroid is larger than initially thought—approximately the size of a 10-story building. The impact, while unlikely, could disrupt lunar operations.

cnnespanol.cnn.com

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Feb 25, 10:09

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Impact Probability Reduced to Near Zero

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially considered the most dangerous asteroid on record with a 3.1% chance of impacting Earth in 2032, now has a near-zero probability of impact following refined trajectory calculations based on new data from global telescopes, including the James Webb Space Telescope.

Asteroid 2024 YR4 Impact Probability Reduced to Near Zero

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially considered the most dangerous asteroid on record with a 3.1% chance of impacting Earth in 2032, now has a near-zero probability of impact following refined trajectory calculations based on new data from global telescopes, including the James Webb Space Telescope.

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What is the current probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth in 2032, and what factors contributed to this reassessment?

Asteroid 2024 YR4, initially classified as the most dangerous on record, now has a near-zero percent chance of impacting Earth in 2032, according to NASA and ESA. The probability of impact is estimated at 0.0017% by NASA and 0.002% by ESA, translating to a 1 in 59,000 chance.

us.cnn.com

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Feb 20, 04:09

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Highest Impact Probability Ever Recorded

Asteroid 2024 YR4, estimated to be 40 to 90 meters wide, has a currently calculated 1.5% chance of impacting Earth in December 2032, according to NASA, surpassing the previous record held by Apophis, and prompting continued observations by ground and space-based telescopes.

Asteroid 2024 YR4: Highest Impact Probability Ever Recorded

Asteroid 2024 YR4, estimated to be 40 to 90 meters wide, has a currently calculated 1.5% chance of impacting Earth in December 2032, according to NASA, surpassing the previous record held by Apophis, and prompting continued observations by ground and space-based telescopes.

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What is the current probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth in 2032, and how does this compare to previous assessments?

NASA and the European Space Agency initially estimated a 3.1% and 2.8% chance, respectively, of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth in 2032. However, with updated observations, NASA revised this probability to 1.5%. This fluctuation is expected as more data becomes available.

cbsnews.com

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Feb 19, 22:13

Asteroid 2024 YR4: 3% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in December 2023, has a 3.1% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, according to NASA, based on a shrinking uncertainty region in its trajectory; the European Space Agency estimates the probability at 2.8%.

Asteroid 2024 YR4: 3% Chance of Earth Impact in 2032

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in December 2023, has a 3.1% chance of impacting Earth on December 22, 2032, according to NASA, based on a shrinking uncertainty region in its trajectory; the European Space Agency estimates the probability at 2.8%.

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How does the shrinking "uncertainty" region in the asteroid's trajectory affect the calculated impact probability?

The rising impact probability of asteroid 2024 YR4 reflects improved understanding of its trajectory, not a change in the asteroid's path itself. The shrinking uncertainty region, coupled with Earth's fixed size within that region, mathematically increases the collision probability. Despite the increased percentage, a 97% chance remains that the asteroid will miss Earth.

us.cnn.com

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Feb 15, 19:08

2% Chance of Asteroid Impact in 2032: Webb Telescope to Track 2024 YR4

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered December 27, 2023, has a 2% chance of hitting Earth in 2032; astronomers are using various telescopes, including the James Webb Space Telescope, to track and refine its trajectory and size, with observations planned for March and May 2024.

2% Chance of Asteroid Impact in 2032: Webb Telescope to Track 2024 YR4

Asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered December 27, 2023, has a 2% chance of hitting Earth in 2032; astronomers are using various telescopes, including the James Webb Space Telescope, to track and refine its trajectory and size, with observations planned for March and May 2024.

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What is the immediate significance of the 2% chance of asteroid 2024 YR4 impacting Earth in 2032, and what actions are underway to mitigate potential risks?

Asteroid 2024 YR4, estimated at 131 to 295 feet wide, has a 2% chance of impacting Earth in 2032. Astronomers are tracking it using various telescopes, including the James Webb Space Telescope, to refine its trajectory and size estimations. More data could eliminate the impact risk.

abcnews.go.com

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Feb 11, 01:09

Asteroid Impact Probability Doubles: 2024 YR4 Poses Localized Threat

NASA has doubled the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in December 2023, impacting Earth in December 2032 to 2.1%, posing a localized threat if it strikes a populated area, comparable to the 1908 Tunguska event.

Asteroid Impact Probability Doubles: 2024 YR4 Poses Localized Threat

NASA has doubled the probability of asteroid 2024 YR4, discovered in December 2023, impacting Earth in December 2032 to 2.1%, posing a localized threat if it strikes a populated area, comparable to the 1908 Tunguska event.

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Why has the probability of an asteroid impact increased, and what are the challenges in tracking this specific asteroid?

The increased likelihood of impact stems from improved trajectory calculations as the asteroid moves away from Earth's vicinity. The unusual elongated orbit of 2024 YR4, which takes it far beyond Mars, makes tracking challenging. The current Torino scale ranking is 3 out of 10, uncommon for near-Earth objects.

Showing 1 to 12 of 26 results