Tag #Economic Forecast

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forbes.com

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Jan 21, 22:09

Trump's Day One Policies Leave Economic Forecast Unchanged

President Trump's Day One policy announcements had no immediate effect on the short-term economic forecast, although uncertainty remains about the impact of future tariffs on foreign trade; reduced immigration will slightly slow economic growth.

Trump's Day One Policies Leave Economic Forecast Unchanged

President Trump's Day One policy announcements had no immediate effect on the short-term economic forecast, although uncertainty remains about the impact of future tariffs on foreign trade; reduced immigration will slightly slow economic growth.

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How will reduced immigration and potential changes to oil production affect the short-term economic outlook?

Reduced immigration, already accounted for in the forecast, will slightly lower economic growth due to a smaller labor force and reduced consumer spending. The impact of potential tariffs on foreign trade remains uncertain, posing the greatest risk to the forecast's accuracy. Oil production increases are projected to have negligible short-term economic effects due to the long lead times involved in exploration, development, and market access.

bbc.com

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Jan 17, 19:09

IMF Upgrades UK Growth Forecast Amidst Concerns Over Trump's Economic Policies

The IMF upgraded its UK growth forecast to 1.6% for 2025 but warned that Trump's threatened tariffs could worsen trade tensions, lower investment, and disrupt supply chains globally, potentially causing an inflationary boom followed by a bust and weakening US Treasury bonds.

IMF Upgrades UK Growth Forecast Amidst Concerns Over Trump's Economic Policies

The IMF upgraded its UK growth forecast to 1.6% for 2025 but warned that Trump's threatened tariffs could worsen trade tensions, lower investment, and disrupt supply chains globally, potentially causing an inflationary boom followed by a bust and weakening US Treasury bonds.

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How might Trump's proposed tariffs and deregulation affect the US economy in both the short and long term?

Trump's proposed tariffs on various countries, including China, Canada, and Mexico, are a key concern. These tariffs, alongside potential deregulation, could initially boost the US economy but may ultimately lead to an inflationary boom followed by a bust, weakening US Treasury bonds. The IMF's warning aligns with similar concerns raised by the World Bank.

welt.de

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Jan 15, 13:07

German Economy Contracts for Second Consecutive Year

Germany's economy shrank by 0.2 percent in 2024, following a 0.3 percent decline in 2023, due to weak consumer spending, a struggling construction sector, decreased exports to China, and political uncertainty stemming from recent elections.

German Economy Contracts for Second Consecutive Year

Germany's economy shrank by 0.2 percent in 2024, following a 0.3 percent decline in 2023, due to weak consumer spending, a struggling construction sector, decreased exports to China, and political uncertainty stemming from recent elections.

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What are the primary factors contributing to Germany's economic contraction in 2024, and what are the immediate consequences?

The German economy contracted by 0.2 percent in 2024, following a 0.3 percent decrease in 2023, marking two consecutive years of recession. This slow growth is largely attributed to factors such as subdued consumer spending despite rising real wages, a struggling construction industry due to high financing and material costs, and weak export demand from China.

kathimerini.gr

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Jan 14, 19:10

Global Economic Outlook 2025: Growth Amidst Uncertainty

Global economic growth in 2025 is projected at 2.7%-2.8%, influenced by geopolitical instability, high public debt, and technological advancements; Greece's growth depends on structural reforms and attracting foreign investment.

Global Economic Outlook 2025: Growth Amidst Uncertainty

Global economic growth in 2025 is projected at 2.7%-2.8%, influenced by geopolitical instability, high public debt, and technological advancements; Greece's growth depends on structural reforms and attracting foreign investment.

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How do geopolitical tensions and the potential for protectionist policies affect global trade and supply chains?

Several factors contribute to this economic forecast. AI integration, quantum computing investments, and the energy transition are positive drivers, while protectionist policies and high public debt pose risks. Emerging economies like India and Indonesia are expected to contribute significantly to global GDP growth.

cnbc.com

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Jan 13, 19:09

Goldman Sachs Favors US Equities in 2025 Despite High Valuations

Goldman Sachs' Investment Strategy Group advises maintaining an overweight position in US equities for moderate-risk portfolios in 2025, despite high valuations, citing projected US earnings growth exceeding European growth and arguing that valuations are poor short-term indicators; this strategy in...

Goldman Sachs Favors US Equities in 2025 Despite High Valuations

Goldman Sachs' Investment Strategy Group advises maintaining an overweight position in US equities for moderate-risk portfolios in 2025, despite high valuations, citing projected US earnings growth exceeding European growth and arguing that valuations are poor short-term indicators; this strategy in...

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How does Goldman Sachs account for the high valuations of the US stock market in its 2025 outlook?

The recommendation to favor US equities stems from Goldman's projection of sustained US earnings growth outpacing other developed markets, particularly Europe, in 2025. This advantage, coupled with the argument that current valuations are not a reliable indicator of near-term market performance, underpins their portfolio strategy. The high valuation of the S&P 500 (P/E ratio of 27.49) is acknowledged but downplayed as a short-term timing factor.

dailymail.co.uk

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Jan 9, 16:11

Oxford Economics Predicts Sharp Drop in UK Interest Rates by 2027

Oxford Economics forecasts UK interest rates to fall to 2.5% by late 2027, contrasting sharply with the 3.75% market consensus, due to anticipated demographic impacts and a reassessment of inflation; this could significantly lower mortgage rates eventually, although lenders' responses remain uncerta...

Oxford Economics Predicts Sharp Drop in UK Interest Rates by 2027

Oxford Economics forecasts UK interest rates to fall to 2.5% by late 2027, contrasting sharply with the 3.75% market consensus, due to anticipated demographic impacts and a reassessment of inflation; this could significantly lower mortgage rates eventually, although lenders' responses remain uncerta...

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How do Oxford Economics' projections differ from market forecasts, and what underlying economic factors explain these discrepancies?

The prediction is based on structural factors like demographics and productivity growth, which Oxford Economics believes will reassert themselves post-high inflation. Their projection, while slightly more cautious than last year's (2%), considers recent UK fiscal rule changes and a potentially more volatile global inflation landscape.

china.org.cn

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Jan 18, 01:10

IMF Upgrades 2025 Global Growth Forecast Amid Widening Economic Divergences

The IMF slightly upgraded its 2025 global growth forecast to 3.3 percent, citing recent market developments and temporary trade policy uncertainty; however, growth divergences are widening, with the U.S. forecast at 2.7 percent, the Eurozone at 1 percent, China at 4.6 percent, and emerging markets a...

IMF Upgrades 2025 Global Growth Forecast Amid Widening Economic Divergences

The IMF slightly upgraded its 2025 global growth forecast to 3.3 percent, citing recent market developments and temporary trade policy uncertainty; however, growth divergences are widening, with the U.S. forecast at 2.7 percent, the Eurozone at 1 percent, China at 4.6 percent, and emerging markets a...

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What are the key factors driving the IMF's upward revision of the 2025 global growth forecast, and what are the immediate implications for different economies?

The IMF upgraded its 2025 global growth forecast to 3.3 percent, a 0.1 percentage point increase from October 2024. This upward revision reflects recent market developments and incorporates the impact of heightened, yet temporary, trade policy uncertainty. However, divergences in growth across countries are widening, with the U.S. forecast rising to 2.7 percent while the Eurozone's fell to 1 percent.

cbsnews.com

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Jan 17, 01:07

Short-Term CDs: A Strategic Savings Option for 2025

Short-term CDs offer flexibility, quick returns, and potential for future rate increases, benefiting savers seeking adaptability in 2025's volatile interest rate climate; a \$10,000, 6-month CD at 4.61% yields about \$230.

Short-Term CDs: A Strategic Savings Option for 2025

Short-term CDs offer flexibility, quick returns, and potential for future rate increases, benefiting savers seeking adaptability in 2025's volatile interest rate climate; a \$10,000, 6-month CD at 4.61% yields about \$230.

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What are the primary benefits of short-term CDs in 2025's dynamic interest rate environment?

Short-term certificates of deposit (CDs) offer advantages in 2025 for savers prioritizing flexibility and quick returns, unlike long-term CDs. Higher short-term rates allow for faster returns on smaller deposits; for example, a \$10,000 deposit in a 6-month CD at 4.61% yields approximately \$230.

forbes.com

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Jan 14, 16:12

Moderate Growth Projected for US Consumer Spending in 2025, Despite Tariff and Conflict Risks

US consumer spending in 2025 is projected to rise moderately, fueled by job growth and wage increases exceeding inflation, but potential tariffs and international conflicts pose significant risks, potentially dampening consumer confidence and spending on discretionary items.

Moderate Growth Projected for US Consumer Spending in 2025, Despite Tariff and Conflict Risks

US consumer spending in 2025 is projected to rise moderately, fueled by job growth and wage increases exceeding inflation, but potential tariffs and international conflicts pose significant risks, potentially dampening consumer confidence and spending on discretionary items.

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What are the primary drivers and potential impediments to US consumer spending growth in 2025?

US consumer spending is projected to increase moderately in 2025, driven by factors such as job growth, wage increases outpacing inflation, and past asset growth. However, this increase may be tempered by consumer resistance to price hikes resulting from potential tariffs. Personal consumption expenditures currently constitute 68% of the GDP.

cbsnews.com

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Jan 14, 19:10

Wholesale Inflation Up 0.2% in December, Driven by Energy Prices

U.S. wholesale inflation rose 0.2% in December due to higher energy prices, particularly a 9.7% increase in gasoline, while food prices fell 0.1%; the year-over-year increase reached 3.3%, exceeding forecasts and boosting U.S. markets.

Wholesale Inflation Up 0.2% in December, Driven by Energy Prices

U.S. wholesale inflation rose 0.2% in December due to higher energy prices, particularly a 9.7% increase in gasoline, while food prices fell 0.1%; the year-over-year increase reached 3.3%, exceeding forecasts and boosting U.S. markets.

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What is the immediate impact of the December producer price index report on U.S. markets and the Federal Reserve's policy?

U.S. wholesale inflation edged up 0.2% in December, driven by a 3.5% surge in energy prices, but this increase was smaller than anticipated. Year-over-year, wholesale prices climbed 3.3%, exceeding expectations and marking the largest jump since February 2023. This led to a positive market reaction, with the S&P 500 rising 0.4% in early trading.

theglobeandmail.com

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Jan 13, 16:11

TSX Index Slightly Up, But Uncertainty Remains

The S\&P/TSX Composite Index is slightly above its 20-year average return for the month of January, however, upcoming economic data releases, central bank actions, and President Trump taking office may have significant impacts on future performance. Analysts project 9.3 percent earnings growth over ...

TSX Index Slightly Up, But Uncertainty Remains

The S\&P/TSX Composite Index is slightly above its 20-year average return for the month of January, however, upcoming economic data releases, central bank actions, and President Trump taking office may have significant impacts on future performance. Analysts project 9.3 percent earnings growth over ...

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What is the current state of the S\&P/TSX Composite Index and what factors could significantly alter its performance in the near future?

The S\&P/TSX Composite Index is up 0.16 percent seven trading days into January, compared to an average January return of 0.7 percent over the past two decades. Analysts project 9.3 percent earnings growth for the next 12 months, but this is down 0.3 percent from last month's projection. The current price-to-earnings ratio is 15.5, in line with the 10-year average.

nbcnews.com

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Jan 9, 01:10

Used Vehicle Prices to Stabilize in 2025

Cox Automotive forecasts used vehicle wholesale prices to increase by 1.4% in 2025, stabilizing after significant drops following pandemic-inflated prices; the average listing price in December was $25,565, down 3% year-over-year; used vehicle sales are expected to increase by 1% to 37.8 million in ...

Used Vehicle Prices to Stabilize in 2025

Cox Automotive forecasts used vehicle wholesale prices to increase by 1.4% in 2025, stabilizing after significant drops following pandemic-inflated prices; the average listing price in December was $25,565, down 3% year-over-year; used vehicle sales are expected to increase by 1% to 37.8 million in ...

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What factors contributed to the volatility in used vehicle prices in the years following the pandemic?

The projected stabilization in 2025 contrasts with the volatile price swings of the past few years, driven by supply chain disruptions and historically high price increases during the pandemic (46.6% in 2021 and 14.2% in 2020). While prices are stabilizing, they remain above pre-pandemic levels. The Biden administration noted the impact of used vehicle prices on inflation.

Showing 121 to 132 of 187 results