Polymarket Predicts Union Victory in German Election, Contrasting with Polls
Polymarket predicts a German Bundestag election win for the Union with Friedrich Merz as chancellor (30-35% of votes), contrasting with polls showing Merz and Habeck tied at 27% as preferred chancellor candidates; a French investor bet $30 million on Trump's 2020 US election win on the platform.
Polymarket Predicts Union Victory in German Election, Contrasting with Polls
Polymarket predicts a German Bundestag election win for the Union with Friedrich Merz as chancellor (30-35% of votes), contrasting with polls showing Merz and Habeck tied at 27% as preferred chancellor candidates; a French investor bet $30 million on Trump's 2020 US election win on the platform.
Progress
40% Bias Score
Trump Sues Des Moines Register Over Inaccurate Pre-Election Poll
President-elect Donald Trump sued the Des Moines Register for publishing an inaccurate pre-election poll showing a Democratic lead in Iowa, alleging election interference and seeking unspecified monetary damages; the Register's parent company called the lawsuit meritless.
Trump Sues Des Moines Register Over Inaccurate Pre-Election Poll
President-elect Donald Trump sued the Des Moines Register for publishing an inaccurate pre-election poll showing a Democratic lead in Iowa, alleging election interference and seeking unspecified monetary damages; the Register's parent company called the lawsuit meritless.
Progress
64% Bias Score
Tight Australian Election Race: Polling Shows Coalition Gaining Ground
With the Australian federal election looming, recent polling indicates a tight race between the Coalition (projected 64 seats) and Labor (59 seats), leaving 14 seats undecided, and highlighting the importance of Western Australia where Prime Minister Albanese will visit to shore up support.
Tight Australian Election Race: Polling Shows Coalition Gaining Ground
With the Australian federal election looming, recent polling indicates a tight race between the Coalition (projected 64 seats) and Labor (59 seats), leaving 14 seats undecided, and highlighting the importance of Western Australia where Prime Minister Albanese will visit to shore up support.
Progress
44% Bias Score
2024 US Election: Key Takeaways and Analysis
Analysis of the 2024 US election, focusing on voter turnout, the significance of Trump's win, prediction market accuracy, and polling errors.
2024 US Election: Key Takeaways and Analysis
Analysis of the 2024 US election, focusing on voter turnout, the significance of Trump's win, prediction market accuracy, and polling errors.
Progress
0% Bias Score
UK Polling Update: Badenoch Narrows Gap with Starmer
Recent polls show a narrowing gap between the Conservative and Labour parties, but Labour still maintains a lead. Other parties see fluctuating support.
UK Polling Update: Badenoch Narrows Gap with Starmer
Recent polls show a narrowing gap between the Conservative and Labour parties, but Labour still maintains a lead. Other parties see fluctuating support.
Progress
0% Bias Score
Polling Fails in Harris-Trump Election
Analysis of the discrepancies between pre-election polls and the actual results of the Harris-Trump election, highlighting the inaccuracy of polling data and its implications.
Polling Fails in Harris-Trump Election
Analysis of the discrepancies between pre-election polls and the actual results of the Harris-Trump election, highlighting the inaccuracy of polling data and its implications.
Progress
0% Bias Score
Starmer's Six Months: Ukraine Visit Highlights Domestic Crisis
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, six months into his term, faces plummeting poll numbers, economic difficulties, and internal party divisions, while his visit to Ukraine underscored the challenges of both domestic politics and the war in that country.
Starmer's Six Months: Ukraine Visit Highlights Domestic Crisis
British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, six months into his term, faces plummeting poll numbers, economic difficulties, and internal party divisions, while his visit to Ukraine underscored the challenges of both domestic politics and the war in that country.
Progress
52% Bias Score
Trump Sues Pollster, Newspaper for Alleged Consumer Fraud
President-elect Trump is suing pollster J. Ann Selzer and The Des Moines Register for allegedly deceptive pre-election polling that showed Kamala Harris with a surprise lead in Iowa, violating the Iowa Consumer Fraud Act; this is part of a broader campaign against what he sees as left-wing media.
Trump Sues Pollster, Newspaper for Alleged Consumer Fraud
President-elect Trump is suing pollster J. Ann Selzer and The Des Moines Register for allegedly deceptive pre-election polling that showed Kamala Harris with a surprise lead in Iowa, violating the Iowa Consumer Fraud Act; this is part of a broader campaign against what he sees as left-wing media.
Progress
56% Bias Score
Luntz Critiques Harris Campaign Strategy
Republican pollster Frank Luntz criticizes Kamala Harris's campaign for focusing too much on Donald Trump and not enough on Harris herself, highlighting internal campaign issues and voter perceptions.
Luntz Critiques Harris Campaign Strategy
Republican pollster Frank Luntz criticizes Kamala Harris's campaign for focusing too much on Donald Trump and not enough on Harris herself, highlighting internal campaign issues and voter perceptions.
Progress
0% Bias Score
2024 Election: CNN's Analysis of Campaign Narratives
Analysis of CNN polling data reveals starkly different narratives surrounding the Trump and Harris campaigns in the final days of the 2024 election.
2024 Election: CNN's Analysis of Campaign Narratives
Analysis of CNN polling data reveals starkly different narratives surrounding the Trump and Harris campaigns in the final days of the 2024 election.
Progress
0% Bias Score
Prediction Markets and Election Forecasting
Analysis of prediction markets' accuracy in forecasting the US election, examining their methodology, limitations, and comparison to traditional polls.
Prediction Markets and Election Forecasting
Analysis of prediction markets' accuracy in forecasting the US election, examining their methodology, limitations, and comparison to traditional polls.
Progress
0% Bias Score
Republican Landslide: An Analysis
Analysis of the unexpected Republican landslide victory in the US elections, exploring factors like polling errors, voter turnout, and the role of Kamala Harris.
Republican Landslide: An Analysis
Analysis of the unexpected Republican landslide victory in the US elections, exploring factors like polling errors, voter turnout, and the role of Kamala Harris.
Progress
0% Bias Score