Tag #Polling

Showing 13 to 24 of 34 results

english.elpais.com

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Nov 11, 19:18

2024 US Election: Key Takeaways and Analysis

Analysis of the 2024 US election, focusing on voter turnout, the significance of Trump's win, prediction market accuracy, and polling errors.

2024 US Election: Key Takeaways and Analysis

Analysis of the 2024 US election, focusing on voter turnout, the significance of Trump's win, prediction market accuracy, and polling errors.

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Why were many people surprised by the election result despite available predictions?

Many were surprised by Trump's win, despite numerous polls and prediction markets indicating a close race and high likelihood of either a 'red wave' or 'blue wave'. These predictions were widely reported in various news outlets.

edition.cnn.com

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Nov 10, 22:02

2024 Election: CNN's Analysis of Campaign Narratives

Analysis of CNN polling data reveals starkly different narratives surrounding the Trump and Harris campaigns in the final days of the 2024 election.

2024 Election: CNN's Analysis of Campaign Narratives

Analysis of CNN polling data reveals starkly different narratives surrounding the Trump and Harris campaigns in the final days of the 2024 election.

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How did public attention to both candidates evolve throughout the campaign?

Public attention towards both candidates peaked during the summer and decreased in the final days of the campaign, contrasting with the trends observed in the 2016 and 2020 elections.

independent.co.uk

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Nov 8, 13:10

UK Polling Update: Badenoch Narrows Gap with Starmer

Recent polls show a narrowing gap between the Conservative and Labour parties, but Labour still maintains a lead. Other parties see fluctuating support.

UK Polling Update: Badenoch Narrows Gap with Starmer

Recent polls show a narrowing gap between the Conservative and Labour parties, but Labour still maintains a lead. Other parties see fluctuating support.

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How did other parties fare in the latest poll?

Nigel Farage's Reform UK party saw no significant boost despite Donald Trump's election victory, remaining at 18%. The Liberal Democrats also saw their support drop to 13%.

lexpress.fr

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Nov 6, 19:06

Republican Landslide: An Analysis

Analysis of the unexpected Republican landslide victory in the US elections, exploring factors like polling errors, voter turnout, and the role of Kamala Harris.

Republican Landslide: An Analysis

Analysis of the unexpected Republican landslide victory in the US elections, exploring factors like polling errors, voter turnout, and the role of Kamala Harris.

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What led to the unexpected Republican victory?

The unexpected Republican landslide victory was due to several factors, including smaller-than-expected margins in key swing states, correlated polling errors, and higher-than-anticipated Republican voter turnout.

pt.euronews.com

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Nov 6, 10:04

US Exit Polls: Democracy vs. Economy

Analysis of US exit polls reveals differing priorities between supporters of Harris and Trump, with democracy and the economy as top concerns, respectively. The methodology and differences from European practices are also examined.

US Exit Polls: Democracy vs. Economy

Analysis of US exit polls reveals differing priorities between supporters of Harris and Trump, with democracy and the economy as top concerns, respectively. The methodology and differences from European practices are also examined.

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How are US exit polls conducted?

Exit polls in the US are conducted at around 500 polling places and supplemented by phone interviews with early and mail-in voters, aiming to reflect diverse voting methods.

cnnespanol.cnn.com

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Nov 5, 13:07

2024 US Presidential Election: A Tight Race

The 2024 US Presidential election between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is extremely close, according to recent polls, with both candidates receiving almost equal support.

2024 US Presidential Election: A Tight Race

The 2024 US Presidential election between Donald Trump and Kamala Harris is extremely close, according to recent polls, with both candidates receiving almost equal support.

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What do the compiled results of the polls show?

The closeness of the race is highlighted by the fact that the compiled poll results show Harris with a slight edge of 49% versus Trump's 47%, still within the margin of error.

independent.co.uk

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Nov 11, 19:12

Luntz Critiques Harris Campaign Strategy

Republican pollster Frank Luntz criticizes Kamala Harris's campaign for focusing too much on Donald Trump and not enough on Harris herself, highlighting internal campaign issues and voter perceptions.

Luntz Critiques Harris Campaign Strategy

Republican pollster Frank Luntz criticizes Kamala Harris's campaign for focusing too much on Donald Trump and not enough on Harris herself, highlighting internal campaign issues and voter perceptions.

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How did Frank Luntz's predictions about the election outcome change over time?

Luntz's predictions regarding the election results varied throughout the campaign, initially suggesting a Trump victory but later predicting a Harris win before ultimately admitting uncertainty close to the election.

cnn.com

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Nov 8, 13:02

Prediction Markets and Election Forecasting

Analysis of prediction markets' accuracy in forecasting the US election, examining their methodology, limitations, and comparison to traditional polls.

Prediction Markets and Election Forecasting

Analysis of prediction markets' accuracy in forecasting the US election, examining their methodology, limitations, and comparison to traditional polls.

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What is the fundamental principle behind the accuracy of prediction markets?

The success of prediction markets like Polymarket stems from the collective wisdom of many participants; their aversion to losing money helps generate accurate predictions, even if individual participants are uninformed.

theguardian.com

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Nov 6, 22:12

2024 US Election: Pollsters' Failure

US pollsters faced criticism for their inaccurate predictions in the 2024 presidential election, with online prediction markets proving more accurate.

2024 US Election: Pollsters' Failure

US pollsters faced criticism for their inaccurate predictions in the 2024 presidential election, with online prediction markets proving more accurate.

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What did many pre-election polls show about the race between Trump and Harris?

Many polls showed a close race between Trump and Harris, with some even predicting a narrow win for Harris, contradicting the actual outcome.

elmundo.es

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Nov 6, 10:13

Polling Fails in Harris-Trump Election

Analysis of the discrepancies between pre-election polls and the actual results of the Harris-Trump election, highlighting the inaccuracy of polling data and its implications.

Polling Fails in Harris-Trump Election

Analysis of the discrepancies between pre-election polls and the actual results of the Harris-Trump election, highlighting the inaccuracy of polling data and its implications.

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What are some of the reasons for the inaccuracy of the polls?

The inaccuracy of the polls is attributed to several factors, including difficulties in data collection due to the pandemic and the reluctance of some Trump supporters to admit their preference.

independent.co.uk

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Nov 6, 04:07

Trump's Campaign: Public Confidence vs. Private Concerns

Conflicting signals emerge regarding Trump's presidential campaign: public optimism clashes with private concerns about voter turnout and poll numbers.

Trump's Campaign: Public Confidence vs. Private Concerns

Conflicting signals emerge regarding Trump's presidential campaign: public optimism clashes with private concerns about voter turnout and poll numbers.

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What do recent polls suggest about the potential outcome of the election?

While some Trump aides project optimism, recent polls suggest Vice President Harris holds leads in key swing states, including a surprising lead in Iowa among female voters.

corriere.it

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Nov 5, 13:05

Harris vs. Trump: A Nail-Biting Presidential Race

A close US presidential election race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is analyzed, with focus on key swing states and recent polling data.

Harris vs. Trump: A Nail-Biting Presidential Race

A close US presidential election race between Kamala Harris and Donald Trump is analyzed, with focus on key swing states and recent polling data.

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How close is the race between Harris and Trump?

The polls show a tight race, with the candidates separated by narrow margins in several crucial states. Pennsylvania is considered the most important swing state, as its electoral votes could determine the winner.

Showing 13 to 24 of 34 results