Tag #Economic Forecast

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theglobeandmail.com

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Apr 30, 16:13

Trump's First 100 Days: Market Volatility and Lingering Uncertainty

The first 100 days of Trump's presidency saw significant market volatility due to tariff-fueled chaos, resulting in trillions of dollars lost from U.S. assets; however, some markets rebounded as Trump moderated his policies, yet concerns remain about long-term economic damage.

Trump's First 100 Days: Market Volatility and Lingering Uncertainty

The first 100 days of Trump's presidency saw significant market volatility due to tariff-fueled chaos, resulting in trillions of dollars lost from U.S. assets; however, some markets rebounded as Trump moderated his policies, yet concerns remain about long-term economic damage.

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What were the immediate economic impacts of the first 100 days of Trump's presidency on global markets, and what specific data support these impacts?

During Trump's first 100 days, global markets experienced significant volatility due to tariff-related chaos, resulting in trillions of dollars lost in U.S. asset prices. The S&P 500 had its worst first 100 days since 1973, and the dollar index dropped almost 10%. However, some markets have since rebounded as Trump moderated his policies.

elpais.com

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Apr 24, 19:17

Germany's Stagnant Economy: 0% Growth Forecast for 2024

Germany's economy is projected to stagnate in 2024 after two years of recession, due to US trade policies and a lack of a functioning government; however, a new coalition government's economic stimulus plan aims for 1.0% growth in 2025.

Germany's Stagnant Economy: 0% Growth Forecast for 2024

Germany's economy is projected to stagnate in 2024 after two years of recession, due to US trade policies and a lack of a functioning government; however, a new coalition government's economic stimulus plan aims for 1.0% growth in 2025.

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What is the immediate impact of the revised German economic forecast, and what are the primary contributing factors?

Germany's economy will stagnate this year after two years of recession, according to Minister Robert Habeck. The government revised its growth forecast from 0.3% to 0.0%, citing Donald Trump's trade policies and the lack of a functioning government for months as major factors. A €500 billion infrastructure fund, including €100 billion for environmental protection, has been approved.

elpais.com

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Apr 22, 16:17

Spain Defies Global Downturn: IMF Upgrades Growth Forecast

The IMF upgraded Spain's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 2.5%, defying global downward trends due to the US trade war, citing strong service exports, labor growth, and limited US trade exposure.

Spain Defies Global Downturn: IMF Upgrades Growth Forecast

The IMF upgraded Spain's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 2.5%, defying global downward trends due to the US trade war, citing strong service exports, labor growth, and limited US trade exposure.

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How did Spain's service sector and labor market contribute to its economic resilience amidst global uncertainty caused by the US trade war?

Spain's economic resilience stems from its limited direct and indirect trade exposure to the US, mitigating the negative impacts of the trade war and associated uncertainty. This contrasts sharply with other major economies experiencing significant downward revisions in growth projections. The strong performance of Spain's service sector also contributed to its relative success.

elmundo.es

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Apr 22, 16:17

IMF slashes global growth forecast amid Trump's trade war

The IMF drastically lowered its 2025 global growth forecast to 2.8% due to Donald Trump's trade war, with the US growth falling below 2% and Mexico entering a recession; however, Spain's growth is revised upward to 2.5% for 2025.

IMF slashes global growth forecast amid Trump's trade war

The IMF drastically lowered its 2025 global growth forecast to 2.8% due to Donald Trump's trade war, with the US growth falling below 2% and Mexico entering a recession; however, Spain's growth is revised upward to 2.5% for 2025.

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How do the IMF's revised forecasts account for the differing economic performances of countries like the US, Mexico, and Spain?

The trade war's negative impact stems from increased tariffs and uncertainty, causing a global economic slowdown. The IMF's chief economist highlights that tariffs negatively affect the supply side, leading to resource misallocation and reduced productivity, while also decreasing competition and stifling innovation in the US. For trade partners, decreased foreign demand is a major consequence.

theguardian.com

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Apr 22, 19:18

IMF Slams Australia's Treasury for Underestimating Trade War Impact

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) slashed its 2025 growth forecast for Australia to 1.6%, a significant drop from 2.1% predicted in January, resulting in a $13 billion loss in annual output, contradicting Australia's Treasury's assessment of only "modest" economic damage from the rise in global ...

IMF Slams Australia's Treasury for Underestimating Trade War Impact

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) slashed its 2025 growth forecast for Australia to 1.6%, a significant drop from 2.1% predicted in January, resulting in a $13 billion loss in annual output, contradicting Australia's Treasury's assessment of only "modest" economic damage from the rise in global ...

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How significantly does the IMF's revised growth forecast for Australia differ from the Treasury's prediction, and what are the immediate economic implications of this discrepancy?

The IMF drastically lowered its 2025 growth forecast for Australia to 1.6%, a significant drop from the 2.1% predicted in January, resulting in a $13 billion loss in annual output. This contradicts Australia's Treasury, which predicted only "modest" economic damage from global protectionism, highlighting a potential miscalculation of the trade war's impact.

europe.chinadaily.com.cn

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Apr 18, 07:17

WTO Warns of Sharp Global Trade Decline Due to US Tariffs

The World Trade Organization (WTO) projects a 0.2 percent decline in global goods trade volume this year due to increased US tariffs, a 3 percentage point drop from earlier predictions, with a modest 2.5 percent recovery expected next year; North America's growth is expected to slow by 1.6 percentag...

WTO Warns of Sharp Global Trade Decline Due to US Tariffs

The World Trade Organization (WTO) projects a 0.2 percent decline in global goods trade volume this year due to increased US tariffs, a 3 percentage point drop from earlier predictions, with a modest 2.5 percent recovery expected next year; North America's growth is expected to slow by 1.6 percentag...

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What is the immediate impact of the US tariff increases on global trade, and what specific quantitative evidence supports this?

The World Trade Organization (WTO) warns that global trade has sharply deteriorated due to US tariff increases, projecting a 0.2 percent decline in global goods trade volume this year—a 3 percentage point drop from pre-tariff projections. A modest 2.5 percent recovery is predicted for next year. This reversal from earlier growth predictions highlights the significant negative impact of US trade policies.

theglobeandmail.com

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Apr 30, 16:13

Deloitte Predicts Canadian Economic Downturn Amidst Tariff Uncertainty

Deloitte Canada forecasts a near-term economic downturn with GDP shrinking 1.1 percent in Q2 and 0.9 percent in Q3 2024 due to fading pre-tariff activity and rising tariffs, leading to 7.5 percent unemployment in Q3 before a projected return to under 7 percent next year; however, long-term growth po...

Deloitte Predicts Canadian Economic Downturn Amidst Tariff Uncertainty

Deloitte Canada forecasts a near-term economic downturn with GDP shrinking 1.1 percent in Q2 and 0.9 percent in Q3 2024 due to fading pre-tariff activity and rising tariffs, leading to 7.5 percent unemployment in Q3 before a projected return to under 7 percent next year; however, long-term growth po...

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How will the decrease in business investment specifically impact employment in Canada?

The predicted economic slowdown is attributed to decreased investment following a period of pre-tariff surge in activity and uncertainty surrounding US trade policies. A significant 37 percent drop in machinery and equipment investment in Q2 exemplifies this trend, contrasting with a 30 percent surge in Q1. The resulting job losses contribute to the projected unemployment increase.

taz.de

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Apr 23, 01:13

IMF Cuts Global Growth Forecast Due to Trump's Tariffs

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its global growth forecast to 2.8 percent for 2025, citing President Trump's aggressive tariff policy as the primary reason, with Germany's growth now projected at zero, down 0.3 percentage points from earlier forecasts.

IMF Cuts Global Growth Forecast Due to Trump's Tariffs

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its global growth forecast to 2.8 percent for 2025, citing President Trump's aggressive tariff policy as the primary reason, with Germany's growth now projected at zero, down 0.3 percentage points from earlier forecasts.

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How do the IMF's different economic scenarios illustrate the impact of President Trump's tariff policies on global growth?

The IMF's revised economic projections reflect the significant uncertainty introduced by President Trump's tariff policies. The three scenarios presented highlight the considerable impact of these tariffs on global growth, ranging from 2.8 percent to 3.2 percent for 2025, depending on the tariffs included.

bbc.com

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Apr 22, 16:17

IMF Downgrades US Growth Forecast to 1.8% Amidst Trade War Uncertainty

The IMF drastically lowered its 2025 US growth forecast to 1.8% from 2.7%, citing increased trade tariff uncertainty as the primary cause, predicting a global economic slowdown and a 40% chance of US recession in 2025.

IMF Downgrades US Growth Forecast to 1.8% Amidst Trade War Uncertainty

The IMF drastically lowered its 2025 US growth forecast to 1.8% from 2.7%, citing increased trade tariff uncertainty as the primary cause, predicting a global economic slowdown and a 40% chance of US recession in 2025.

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What are the potential long-term implications of the current trade tensions and economic uncertainty for the US and the global economy?

The IMF's 40% probability of a US recession in 2025 underscores the severity of the situation. The combination of trade wars, reduced investment, and slower consumer spending creates a high-risk scenario. Further escalation of trade tensions could exacerbate the economic slowdown, potentially leading to deeper and more prolonged global economic challenges.

abcnews.go.com

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Apr 22, 16:17

IMF Downgrades Global Growth Forecast Amid Trump Tariff Uncertainty

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its 2025 global growth forecast to 2.8% due to President Trump's tariffs and resulting uncertainty, predicting a 1.8% U.S. growth rate with a 37% chance of recession and slower growth for China and the European Union.

IMF Downgrades Global Growth Forecast Amid Trump Tariff Uncertainty

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) lowered its 2025 global growth forecast to 2.8% due to President Trump's tariffs and resulting uncertainty, predicting a 1.8% U.S. growth rate with a 37% chance of recession and slower growth for China and the European Union.

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How do the IMF's predictions for China and the European Union differ in response to the U.S. tariffs, and why?

The IMF's revised forecasts reflect a global economic slowdown primarily attributed to the trade uncertainty caused by President Trump's tariffs. China's growth is expected to slow to 4% due to reduced U.S. demand, while the U.S. faces a supply shock similar to the pandemic's impact, potentially exacerbating inflation. These impacts highlight the interconnectedness of the global economy and the significant consequences of protectionist trade policies.

cnn.com

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Apr 18, 16:12

US Recession Probability Jumps to 45%, Spurring Investor Shift to Safer Assets

A recent Reuters poll shows a 45% probability of a US recession in the next 12 months, up from 25% last month, driven by President Trump's tariffs and global trade tensions, prompting investors to seek safer assets.

US Recession Probability Jumps to 45%, Spurring Investor Shift to Safer Assets

A recent Reuters poll shows a 45% probability of a US recession in the next 12 months, up from 25% last month, driven by President Trump's tariffs and global trade tensions, prompting investors to seek safer assets.

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How are investors responding to the heightened economic uncertainty, and what strategies are financial experts recommending?

The heightened recession probability reflects growing concerns about inflation, slower economic growth, and potential job losses stemming from the ongoing trade war. This "risk-off" environment is driving investors toward less volatile assets such as cash equivalents and government bonds. Financial experts advise against emotional decision-making and recommend strategic planning instead.

lefigaro.fr

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Apr 16, 16:14

France's 2029 Deficit Reduction Plan Faces Scrutiny

France plans to reduce its budget deficit to below 3% of GDP by 2029, a target questioned by the High Council of Public Finances due to uncertain growth forecasts and potential economic shocks; the plan, however, complies with EU requirements.

France's 2029 Deficit Reduction Plan Faces Scrutiny

France plans to reduce its budget deficit to below 3% of GDP by 2029, a target questioned by the High Council of Public Finances due to uncertain growth forecasts and potential economic shocks; the plan, however, complies with EU requirements.

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What are the immediate implications of France's plan to reduce its deficit below 3% of GDP by 2029?

France aims to reduce its deficit to below 3% of GDP by 2029 to avoid excessive debt. This target, aligning with the government's multi-year plan, is supported by officials but questioned by the High Council of Public Finances (HCFP). The HCFP highlights uncertainties in growth forecasts and limited room for maneuver if economic shocks occur.

Showing 25 to 36 of 160 results